This is the one-Well Defined Wave in East Atlantic

[RL3AO]

I think we might have a heck of a Cape Verde season.

[jaxfladude]

Yikes if those waves become anything.....

[philnyc]

I think we might have a heck of a Cape Verde season.

That's what most of the pros have been saying...

[CrazyC83]

Hard to think we might be at Erin by the weekend...they should put 90L on this soon...

[jaxfladude]

:Will most of the CV storms be "FISH" or is the atmospheric setup for a high threat of A/AN EC and/or GOM hit along the US coastline?

[Jam151]

I think we might have a heck of a Cape Verde season.

That's what most of the pros have been saying...

Got a link? I just don't remember seeing a cape verde forecast.

[cycloneye]

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E ATLC IS ALONG 28W S OF 18N WITH A 1009 MB
LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. BROAD LOW/MID
LEVEL CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS OBSERVED COVERING THE AREA FROM
25W-32W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 27W-31W.


8 PM Discussion from TPC.

[philnyc]

I think we might have a heck of a Cape Verde season.

That's what most of the pros have been saying...

Got a link? I just don't remember seeing a cape verde forecast.

Gimme a litle while; I'll have to dig for that. But a very fair question.

[RL3AO]

Nice little wave off of Africa.

[philnyc]

I think we might have a heck of a Cape Verde season.

That's what most of the pros have been saying...

Got a link? I just don't remember seeing a cape verde forecast.

Here's a quote from the NHC's 2007 season forecast:
"Other ongoing regional aspects of the multi-decadal signal again expected during the 2007 hurricane season include 1) lower surface air pressure, and increased moisture across the tropical Atlantic, 2) an amplified ridge at upper levels across the central and eastern subtropical North Atlantic, 3) reduced vertical wind shear in the deep tropics over the central North Atlantic, which results from an expanded area of easterly winds in the upper atmosphere (green arrows) and weaker easterly trade winds in the lower atmosphere (dark blue arrows), and 4) weaker easterly winds in the middle and lower atmosphere, resulting in a configuration of the African easterly jet (wavy blue arrow) that favors hurricane development from tropical waves moving westward from the African coast."

Here's the whole document:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

If you read through it, it explains that excess development is expected in the MDR, and shows all of the reasons that they expect an above normal number of Cape Verde type storms.

Phil

[CrazyC83]

Is this the wave in the central Atlantic? That sure built up a lot today! I think they may want to call it 90L (or 91L if the Gulf blob is called) soon...