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It is the end of July and we already got 3 named systems in the Atlantic. You may think that is pretty unique, but not exactly. Since 1900, 19 seasons have had at least 3 storms of at least tropical storm intensity by the end of July (20 season if you include 2007). Over the past three years we have done it in a row, 2005-2006-2007. This is the first time since 1995-1996-1997, exactly 10 years ago.
The distinguished 19 seasons with at least 3 named storms by the end of July since 1900 have been 1901, 1909, 1916, 1933, 1936, 1944, 1959, 1960, 1966, 1968, 1979, 1989, 1990, 1995, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, & 2006. You may recognize some famous seasons like 1933, 1995, & 2005, but there are also not-so-famous seasons like 1968, 1997, & 2006. What this means? An early start doesn't mean an active season.
Now comes the interesting part, I decided to add all the storms and divide them by 19, all the hurricanes and divide them by 19, and add all the major hurricanes and divide them by 19. The result is an average of 13/7/3.
Official forecast:
NOAA
TSR
Latest: 14.7/7.9/3.5
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Not bad of a forecast or average, right!!!
Please, feel free to coment,
Sandy
