Invest 99L,Near Windwards,Thread #4

[Cyclone1]

It is not officially anything but a tropical wave right now and not a TS.

I didn't say it was a tropical storm.

I'm sorry but your post (see below) did refer to it as a "storm".
What else would you be referring to if not a tropical storm?

Look at thread 1, July 18 was the first post. The storm wasn't there, but we were discussing the models that called for this storm. Almost a half a month ago.

Sorry, I tend to do that. I wasn't referring to it as a "tropical storm", just a regular storm, really generic.

I'll refrain from using the term storm when not talking about a tropical storm, I can see where that can cause confusion.

[GeneratorPower]

Wow. I feel safer with the correctness police keeping the likes of Cyclone1 off the streets. Ha, ha.

[marcane_1973]

Is it me or has anyone noticed on the Water Vapor image that the dry air is already starting to subside some in the Caribbean??? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.jpg If the atmosphere moistens up in this area like it has in the Eastern Atlantic especially with the intense waves that are coming off of Africa one by one..... Whoaa lookout!!! It is going to be a rough 2007 for somebody. Some of those storms are not going to be all fishies like some people are saying. There are going to be a few for sure that will slip by those fronts and be a serious threat to the U.S. somewhere. The Cape Verde season could be back for 2007 with a serious bang!!!!

[Cyclone1]

Wow. I feel safer with the correctness police keeping the likes of Cyclone1 off the streets. Ha, ha.

Yeah, I'm pretty menacing, with all myt ypos and gerenic words.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

99L is keeping me up yet another night...I don't
want to go to sleep I'm so obsessed with this invest...
Checking up on chantal made me awaken last night...
and tonight 99L is my coffee/tea....

[GeneratorPower]

Is it me or has anyone noticed on the Water Vapor image that the dry air is already starting to subside some in the Caribbean??? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.jpg If the atmosphere moistens up in this area like it has in the Eastern Atlantic especially with the intense waves that are coming off of Africa one by one..... Whoaa lookout!!! It is going to be a rough 2007 for somebody. Some of those storms are not going to be all fishies like some people are saying. There are going to be a few for sure that will slip by those fronts and be a serious threat to the U.S. somewhere. The Cape Verde season could be back for 2007 with a serious bang!!!!

Cape Verde and homegrown are both in play this year, as opposed to 2005 where CV was practically closed for business.

[southerngale]

Berwick I am closely watching the situation here in St.Lucia.

You ought to put your location in your profile, then we'll know where you are whenever you post.

[RL3AO]

No more incredibly dry air to the north and west of the main convection now just regular dry air.

[Stormcenter]

Wow. I feel safer with the correctness police keeping the likes of Cyclone1 off the streets. Ha, ha.

You are under arrest.

[Stormcenter]

Is 99L getting a lot of model support for development compared to last night?

[GeneratorPower]

You are under arrest.

Haha. That was very funny in and of itself.

[Berwick Bay]

Tampabay Hurricane said
99L is keeping me up yet another night...I don't
want to go to sleep I'm so obsessed with this invest...
Checking up on chantal made me awaken last night...
and tonight 99L is my coffee/tea....
____________________________________________
Tampa, you really love this stuff don't you? And I like the way you make no bones about being an amateur. You're about as "true" a poster as we have around here.

[Cyclone1]

Wow. I feel safer with the correctness police keeping the likes of Cyclone1 off the streets. Ha, ha.

You are under arrest.

Curses, fioled again!

[southerngale]

I didn't say it was a tropical storm.

I'm sorry but your post (see below) did refer to it as a "storm".
What else would you be referring to if not a tropical storm?

Look at thread 1, July 18 was the first post. The storm wasn't there, but we were discussing the models that called for this storm. Almost a half a month ago.

Sorry, I tend to do that. I wasn't referring to it as a "tropical storm", just a regular storm, really generic.

I'll refrain from using the term storm when not talking about a tropical storm, I can see where that can cause confusion.

FWIW, I didn't think you meant a "tropical storm." I took it as when it was first discussed, it was models only... no convection (storm), or anything...it wasn't there at all. Now, something is actually there.

[vaffie]

Is 99L getting a lot of model support for development compared to last night?

No. Until it becomes a depression, no global model has an easy time hanging on to it--they all just lose it after a couple days. All except for the WRF which is designed to hang on to weak systems too.

[Cyclone1]

99L is keeping me up yet another night...I don't
want to go to sleep I'm so obsessed with this invest...
Checking up on chantal made me awaken last night...
and tonight 99L is my coffee/tea....

I completely understand what your saying. I've been up since before Chantal was named. But I cannot make myself go to sleep.

[southerngale]

Tampabay Hurricane said
99L is keeping me up yet another night...I don't
want to go to sleep I'm so obsessed with this invest...
Checking up on chantal made me awaken last night...
and tonight 99L is my coffee/tea....
____________________________________________
Tampa, you really love this stuff don't you? And I like the way you make no bones about being an amateur. You're about as "true" a poster as we have around here.

You can just hit the "Quote" button and it will quote the post you want to quote for you.... like this one.

[GeneratorPower]

Really I think that tracking 99L is very interesting because I remember tracking the remnants of TD-10 which became Katrina.

Only a few people in the whole world cared anything about the silly remnants of TD-10. It's like getting to see a mega disaster before the rest of the world knows about it.

It's almost like sometimes you can see stuff coming and think, "man, this is going to be a major disaster and nobody in the world cares about it but us."

In just a few days, do you realize that a major city in the U.S. could be wiped off the map by the "remnants of TD-10"? Wow. 99L could be that next megastorm. And that's what makes it interesting.

[Cyclone1]

Really I think that tracking 99L is very interesting because I remember tracking the remnants of TD-10 which became Katrina.

Only a few people in the whole world cared anything about the silly remnants of TD-10. It's like getting to see a mega disaster before the rest of the world knows about it.

It's almost like sometimes you can see stuff coming and think, "man, this is going to be a major disaster and nobody in the world cares about it but us."

In just a few weeks, do you realize that a major city in the U.S. could be wiped off the map by the "remnants of TD-10"? Wow. 99L could be that next megastorm. And that's what makes it interesting.

I guess I was one of those people who cared about TD-10. Because from the time it dissipated, I kept thinking it would redeveloped into something stronger. Not bragging that I got it right, because I have no right too, that's one of the only predictions I've ever gotten even kinda right in my life.

[boca]

Really I think that tracking 99L is very interesting because I remember tracking the remnants of TD-10 which became Katrina.

Only a few people in the whole world cared anything about the silly remnants of TD-10. It's like getting to see a mega disaster before the rest of the world knows about it.

It's almost like sometimes you can see stuff coming and think, "man, this is going to be a major disaster and nobody in the world cares about it but us."

In just a few days, do you realize that a major city in the U.S. could be wiped off the map by the "remnants of TD-10"? Wow. 99L could be that next megastorm. And that's what makes it interesting.

That really was a good post and well put. Maybe 99L if it does develop will stay south of the US.