Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
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El Nino
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
vaffie wrote:plane descending quickly. estimated surface pressure 999 mb--awaiting more data to confirm such a low pressure.
999 ? That's good for a nice TS ! Don't tell me there's no LLC with such a low pressure (if it's confirmed) !
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astrosbaseball22
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DESTRUCTION5
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Typhoon_Willie
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
I was curious what the wind direction is near Aruba, Bonaire and Curaco right now!?
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Re: Re:
Ivanhater wrote:dwg71 wrote:I see possible spin around 13.5n 66W
Ya I saw that..Im not sure its at the surface tho...
I dont think so either. We will see if a center develops if it will be that far south away from main convection.
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
Typhoon_Willie wrote:I was curious what the wind direction is near Aruba, Bonaire and Curaco right now!?
ENE in Aruba 90 minutes ago.
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
Typhoon_Willie wrote:I was curious what the wind direction is near Aruba, Bonaire and Curaco right now!?
ENE
pressures near 1012mb
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alan1961
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
what we have seen already today is the effects of the warmer sea surface temps that have kept the convection going somewhat past the islands, what is needed now is the LLC to get him going more then who knows what could happen 
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Eyewall
Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
Ivanhater wrote:I doubt the 999mb is correct
i dont at all.. seeing that we had many reports of pressure bellow 1004 yesterday and theres lots more convection now..
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Brent
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
WOW... this thing is flying. Looks impressive but it needs to slow down.
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skysummit
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Re: Invest 99L in Eastern Caribbean Thread #5
Brent wrote:WOW... this thing is flying. Looks impressive but it needs to slow down.
Yea, imagine what it would look like if it did slow down. Even if a LLC is found, it's going to be hard to stay stacked at this speed.
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Aric Dunn
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Im guessing no TD yet, doubt there is anything at the surface.
recon descending on the nw side and the lower they go the winds are east where they should be more NW
unless the wind field is small and confined close to the southern part of the convection
recon descending on the nw side and the lower they go the winds are east where they should be more NW
unless the wind field is small and confined close to the southern part of the convection
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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wxmann_91
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There is likely no LLC. The convection's already weakening. Low level convergence is weak at best, so any storms seem to be divergence and nocturnal maximum related. Soundings from Puerto Rico and the Lesser Antilles indicate a massive dry layer around H7 (signaling a SAL), and strong easterly winds at the mid-low levels (aoa 30-40 kt), which would likely rip any LLC apart.
Last edited by wxmann_91 on Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Stormcenter
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Re:
wxmann_91 wrote:There is likely no LLC. The convection's already weakening. Low level convergence is weak at best, so any storms seem to be divergence and nocturnal maximum related. Soundings from Puerto Rico and the Lesser Antilles indicate a massive dry layer around H7 (signaling a SAL), and strong easterly winds at the mid-low levels (aoa 30-40 kt), which would likely rip any LLC apart.
Turn out the lights the party is over.....for now.
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:Im guessing no TD yet, doubt there is anything at the surface.
recon descending on the nw side and the lower they go the winds are east where they should be more NW
unless the wind field is small and confined close to the southern part of the convection
On the NW quad of the circulation...if there was one...the winds should be from the northeast.
Whatever is there is racing along. Central America is going to get some rain I am sure...
MW
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