Gulf Of Mexico Disturbance (RECON SET)

[AnnularCane]

You can have my 95 degree heat ridge and extreme drought. Please take it. Nothing but 20-30% chances of rain or less for the next week. Hottest weather of the summer.

I'll take it for a week, although maybe not quite so hot.

Sorry. Back to the topic.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

this thing has dumped an insane amount of rain here
no more drought for me

[JonathanBelles]

Im sure most of the drought is over for most of FL. TPA actually ended on the plus side for July.

[ronjon]

Tampa Int'l Official Rainfall:

7/30 0.53
7/31 3.31
8/1 0.90
8/2 1.96 (and still counting)

4 day total = 6.97 inches

[Ivanhater]

It looks to be breaking from the front and coming together a bit...Im looking south of P'cola west of Tampa...

[fwbbreeze]

East winds south of Panama City at station:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42039

West winds further south of Panama City at station:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

[MusicCityMan]

Nice visible pic.. It does look like it may be breaking apart and starting to try to form slowly.. Even if its just a TD or minimal TS, bring on the rain.. I don't mind it.. Its keeping it from being 95-100 degrees lol..

[Brent]

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR.

[HURAKAN]

This one is not in a hurry and time is very limited.

[jrod]

Where is appears everything may be trying to come together is too close to the coast for anything significant to happen soon. I still think it will be an area to watch in the next day or two. I am moving back to Florida tommorow and Saturday so I am going with Murphy's law and expecting a lot of rain and overall bad weather for the drive.

[N2FSU]

From this afternoon's NWS discussion out of Tallahassee:

A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH JUST WEST-NORTHWEST OF TAMPA WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE BIG BEND TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. WILL SHOW LIKELY POPS OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT...MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO COME INTO
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH ANOTHER DEVELOPING WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION SOUTH OF MOBILE AND TRACKING IT NORTHWARD TOWARD PANAMA
CITY.

[Opal storm]

I concur. I'm sursprised they are evening giving it a chance, there's nothing out there.

[Stormcenter]

I concur. I'm sursprised they are evening giving it a chance, there's nothing out there.

Yeah it doesn't look too impressive at all right now.
I know it's early still but before you know it in 6 weeks
the "big" cold fronts start coming down south.

[WindRunner]

East winds south of Panama City at station:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42039

West winds further south of Panama City at station:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

That's generally what you would expect with a stationary boundary . . . no flow pushing it either north or south (i.e. mainly E-W oriented winds) and sharp contrast in wind direction.

[stormy70]

All I know we are getting some bad weather south of Fairhope along Mobile Bay. I can hear the lightening coming in so I will probably be unplugging in a few minutes.

[Ivanhater]

All I know we are getting some bad weather south of Fairhope along Mobile Bay. I can hear the lightening coming in so I will probably be unplugging in a few minutes.

Storming in P'cola with the storms moving east to west around the broad low..they cancelled concert in the park today...just as long as the bushwacker fest goes on this weekend on the beach were good!

[Shawee]

We're heading to Navarre Beach Saturday... a sure sign of the eventual landfall I really don't see anything of real impact coming of this either but at least you guys in the new desert of Tampa will get some more liquid sunshine.

[stormy70]

All I know we are getting some bad weather south of Fairhope along Mobile Bay. I can hear the lightening coming in so I will probably be unplugging in a few minutes.

Storming in P'cola with the storms moving east to west around the broad low..they cancelled concert in the park today...just as long as the bushwacker fest goes on this weekend on the beach were good!

I hope the bushwhacker fest is not rained out.

[Stormavoider]

It's been turning SSW of Tallahassee (in the Gulf) for a good while.

Tallahassee Radar

[jasons2k]

It's been turning SSW of Tallahassee (in the Gulf) for a good while.

Tallahassee Radar

Wow, looking at GR3, almost looks just like that NAM Precip run from earlier today...