Invest 99L Thread #6

[philnyc]

Umm..AFM,Ortt, MW and 57 make this board what it is from a professional standpoint..Period..Without them there would be nothing but wish-casting and basic flipflopping model like forecasts..(there are other good ones unnamed both pro and amature)

I have been trying really hard to put up professional analyses here, and it takes a lot of my time. I still converse with my Penn State alumnae and teachers, and I'm lucky to have those professional meteorologists to vet my papers. I always try to back up my assertions with solid science. I enjoy the give and take here, and I like the fact that we can joke around a little. Who among us here hasn't taken heat for a bad forecast? Meteorologists obvioulsy need a thick skin.

[windstorm99]

Convection has really been on the decrease the past couple of hours with 99L...I see no significant development in the near term atleast.

[cycloneye]

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L.

[philnyc]

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L.

OK. Sure looks raggedy!

[canetracker]

Umm..AFM,Ortt, MW and 57 make this board what it is from a professional standpoint..Period..Without them there would be nothing but wish-casting and basic flipflopping model like forecasts..(there are other good ones unnamed both pro and amature)

I have been trying really hard to put up professional analyses here, and it takes a lot of my time. I still converse with my Penn State alumnae and teachers, and I'm lucky to have those professional meteorologists to vet my papers. I always try to back up my assertions with solid science, and I never make an assertion without backing it up. I enjoy the give and take here, and I like the fact that we can joke around a little. Who among us here hasn't taken heat for a bad forecast?

AFM, Ortt, MW, 57 and all other pro mets that I have not mentioned, you have my utmost respect. I appreciate you guys very much. For those who knock them, you need to learn respect. I am a Veteran Registered Nurse, I always respect the MD over me, even if we do debate at times. Sometimes I am right, and sometimes I am wrong, but all debate is done in respect.
Further, there are other posters on here that I respect their opinions. Debate is okay as long is it is done in a respectful manner.

Now back to the topic....99L. I still think this system goes up and down in looking good then not so good. However, I feel it is the first wave to make it this far and have 6 threads of discussion on it. I feel it points to things to come for this season. This is the beginning of what can be a season we will not forget. Remember, it only takes one monster US landfalling cane to make it a memorable season.

Just my 2 cents.

[alan1961]

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L.

OK. Sure looks raggedy!

are you sure phil?

[cycloneye]

Umm..AFM,Ortt, MW and 57 make this board what it is from a professional standpoint..Period..Without them there would be nothing but wish-casting and basic flipflopping model like forecasts..(there are other good ones unnamed both pro and amature)

I have been trying really hard to put up professional analyses here, and it takes a lot of my time. I still converse with my Penn State alumnae and teachers, and I'm lucky to have those professional meteorologists to vet my papers. I always try to back up my assertions with solid science, and I never make an assertion without backing it up. I enjoy the give and take here, and I like the fact that we can joke around a little. Who among us here hasn't taken heat for a bad forecast?

AFM, Ortt, MW, 57 and all other pro mets that I have not mentioned, you have my utmost respect. I appreciate you guys very much. For those who knock them, you need to learn respect. I am a Veteran Registered Nurse, I always respect the MD over me, even if we do debate at times. Sometimes I am right, and sometimes I am wrong, but all debate is done in respect.
Further, there are other posters on here that I respect their opinions. Debate is okay as long is it is done in a respectful manner.

Now back to the topic....99L. I still think this system goes up and down in looking good then not so good. However, I feel it is the first wave to make it this far and have 6 threads of discussion on it. I feel it points to things to come for this season. This is the beginning of what can be a season we will not forget. Remember, it only takes one monster US landfalling cane to make it a memorable season.

Just my 2 cents.

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L. Second time I say this.

[canetracker]

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L. Second time I say this.

Sorry Cycloneye. I posted this before I saw your post.

[philnyc]

Excuse me but I think the theme of the thread is not being discussed lately.Let's return to 99L.

OK. Sure looks raggedy!

are you sure phil?

LOL! But stop licking your chops for a moment. Actually I did expect this, which you can verify by reading my posts from today, because of the finishing off of the diurnal convection minimum. But it looks particularly raggedy at the moment. I will go digging into the data now and try to find out what, if anything new, is in the offing. We particularly need to see the 00Z runs from the models.
Cheers.

[NDG]

Then why did they send a plane? This a very serious question meant professionally. I am absolutely serious and am not trying to be funny. I enjoy reading you.

To be better safe than sorry. Err on the side of caution. BUt it was obvious it was not yet a tropical storm

I agree with AFM, it was to be safe than sorry, I guarantee you that the NHC this morning knew that there was no LLC, as it was very evident from Curacao's radar loop & surface observation in the ABC islands. To be on the safe side they probably sent the plane as convection was still firing and showed organization at mid levels, sometimes the reconn has gotten lucky and a LLC has formed right when they get to the disturbance.

[Ivanhater]

Horrible just Horrible..

[Extremeweatherguy]

yeah, this looks pathetic. It might very well be the end of the road.. But then again, I also thought the same last night and the night before only to wake up to a complete revival. I guess we will have to wait and see if the same thing happens tonight.

[Sjones]

Horrible just Horrible..

That does look pathetic, but for some reason, I refuse to give up on this thing. I think by Sunday, we should have our TC.

[Ivanhater]

yeah, this looks pathetic. It might very well be the end of the road.. But then again, I also thought the same last night and the night before only to wake up to a complete revival. I guess we will have to wait and see if the same thing happens tonight.

ol' wait and see in the morning getting old!

[Brent]

I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. I want one that can actually DEVELOP.

[jabber]

Me thinks its done.....

[cycloneye]

I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. I want one that can actually DEVELOP.

You want something to track from South of the Cape Verde islands moving WNW bypassing the islands and be a big fish right?.

[HURAKAN]

ol' wait and see in the morning getting old!

It has work in the past mornings and it should work tomorrow!!!

[Opal storm]

I want a REAL storm. Not these pathetic ones like Andrea, Barry, and Chantal.

and I am sick of these sorry invests. I want one that can actually DEVELOP.

Errr...just wait till September.

[astrosbaseball22]

just wait.