Area of Interest east of South Carolina

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HURAKAN
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Area of Interest east of South Carolina

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 04, 2007 8:55 am

Image

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

In the loop it seems that the disturbance has a semi-exposed circulation, it looks like a LLC. Do you see it?
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 04, 2007 9:04 am

To the north of the disturbance:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=mros1

08 04 9:30 am ENE 6.0 8.0 - - - - 30.02 - 79.2 - - - - -
08 04 9:24 am E 7.0 8.9 - - - - 30.03 - 79.3 - - - - -
08 04 9:18 am E 7.0 8.9 - - - - 30.03 - 79.3 - - - - -
08 04 9:12 am ENE 4.1 6.0 - - - - 30.02 - 79.2 - - - - -
08 04 9:06 am E 6.0 8.9 - - - - 30.02 - 79.5 - - - - -
08 04 9:00 am E 5.1 7.0 - - - - 30.02 +0.02 79.3 - - - - -

To the south of the disturbance:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SKMG1

Image
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Re: Area of Interest east of South Carolina

#3 Postby SCHurricane » Sat Aug 04, 2007 9:51 am

NO Chance of developing anytime soon. Upper level winds are over 40 mph! It's moving away anyway...
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#4 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 04, 2007 10:17 am

yeah you need to watch it ULW are forecast to weaken a little and computer models drop this thing SSE to near the bahamas..
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#5 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 04, 2007 10:28 am

The models showed something coming off the coast on Sunday, when I checked last night.
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Re: Area of Interest east of South Carolina

#6 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 04, 2007 11:46 am

Notice what is happening from what i said a few posts ago about the shear dropping

a small upper ridge is building over it

as it continues to move SE it will move into a better upper environment but a little bit drier .. but the dry air is on the decrease as well but should limit and significant development for a day or so

Image

Image
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Re: Area of Interest east of South Carolina

#7 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 04, 2007 11:49 am

GFS 24 hrs

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#8 Postby Aquawind » Sat Aug 04, 2007 12:17 pm

nice little blurp..gfs also showing a breeding ground of mini lows associated with frontal boundries off the east coast..

Edited.. Geesh my spelling sucks.. :cheesy:
Last edited by Aquawind on Sat Aug 04, 2007 5:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 04, 2007 12:55 pm

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Re: Area of Interest east of South Carolina

#10 Postby SCHurricane » Mon Aug 06, 2007 12:27 am

Not a single 0Z run develops this...if anything, they dissipate it.
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