East Atlantic Wave

[Blown Away]

Any comments about the cluster of storms around 10N/25W?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Blown Away]

Per Accuweather...

One other tropical wave is present in the Atlantic, located along 26 west, south of 18 north. This wave is tracking westward at about 4 degrees of longitude per day. The wave is generating some shower and thunderstorm activity over and south of the Cape Verde Islands. The weather there should improve later Saturday night as the wave drifts west. Although the waters in this area are now warm enough to support further development, dry air and Saharan dust are present just north of the wave, which limits its potential for development in the near future. On the other hand, prospects for this wave may improve when it reaches the middle of the Atlantic next week.

[Cyclone1]

It better form, I'm sick of these waves dying. It's making me all emo. *walks into a dark room to think about wind sheer and cry*

[Cyclenall]

It better form, I'm sick of these waves dying. It's making me all emo. *walks into a dark room to think about wind sheer and cry*

That's a new one! A tropical weather emo nerd!

[Patrick99]

I suspect those waves are players...just not yet. Something is keeping waves from developing out there, be it cooler water, dry air or both. Hey, one thing can't be discounted...it's usually a lot more "exciting" when they form closer in. Seasons full of early developers (and early recurves) are to me more boring than inactive seasons.

The early developers that "make it interesting" are really somewhat rare, aren't they? You just don't get too many Donnas, Georgeses, or 1928s.

[canegrl04]

Steve Lyon mentioned this wave a short time ago.Said we need to keep an eye on it.I'm so frustrated by waves that don't become anything.Hopefully,this developes

[windstorm99]

Steve Lyon mentioned this wave a short time ago.Said we need to keep an eye on it.I'm so frustrated by waves that don't become anything.Hopefully,this developes

To be honest i would not mind being frustrated for the next couple of months as my fingers are crossed for another quite season in 2007.We have already been through enough in 04-05 and hopfully things turn out ok this year but as always prepare for the worst and hope for the best.Adrian

View of the wave coming of the african coast...

[Aquawind]

Woah... Relax folks it's early yet for these African systems to pop. 99L was a record long wave that never happened but it was worthy of attention and the basin is getting more favorable. There are alot of factors into development. Last week was active as we had Chantal and the first real wave.

Give it a few days and there will be more systems worthy of watching.. The GFS along with other models continue to hint at development. The ITCZ has rocketed back north and the Azores looks like it has weakened it's influence.

Were back in the saddle for the rodeo and just making some final adjustments before they open the gate and were holding on for dear life..

10N/25W has some convective work to do yet..but that is also normal after exiting the African coast.

[wxman57]

There are 3 waves between the Caribbean and Africa - 59W, 39W, and 29W. Perhaps a weaker wave just off the coast. All three show no signs of organization (in fact, they've become less organized this past week). The Tropical Atlantic isn't yet favorable for them to develop, so you'll have to wait another week until they begin reaching the western Caribbean. I'd suggest reading Dr. Gray/Phil Klotzbach's latest report and taking a close look at analog years (1954, 1961, 1964, 1967, and 1996). In most of those seasons, storm totals were under 12 and the season didn't really get going until late August or even mid September. It would be GREAT to go all of August without a storm, wouldn't it?

[Aquawind]

The Tropical Atlantic isn't yet favorable for them to develop, so you'll have to wait another week until they begin reaching the western Caribbean.

Nice idea..not gonna happen..there is little waiting for anything around here.. Yep it's gonna be another point counterpoint session this week with the current waves.. with reminders that we need persistance..

[punkyg]

[punkyg]

Pretty, but theres only one problem its not in the atlantic yet so we can't just say its gonna develop, but like aways lets wait and see how it looks when it emerges from africa.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I want to see one of these waves develop into
a big storm and stay out over the
waters of the atlantic and away from any land.
I'd love to track a fish hurricane!!!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Of course anything that hits land is horrible
but a category 5 fish storm is perfect!!!!

[Aric Dunn]

i was just about to start a thread on the area you have circled ( the left one) right where the ITZC and the wave are at. where there is a buckle or that "V" shape. watch that area as it will lift further north over the next day or so and looks at though it may be trying to develop a low around there.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

[Blown Away]

Per Accuweather:
One other tropical wave is present in the Atlantic, located along 26 west, south of 18 north. This wave is tracking westward at about 4 degrees of longitude per day. The wave is generating some shower and thunderstorm activity over and south of the Cape Verde Islands. The weather there should improve for Sunday as the wave drifts west. Although the waters in this area are now warm enough to support further development, dry air and Saharan dust are present just north of the wave, which limits its potential for development in the near future. As it moves away from the dust and dry air into the middle of the Atlantic next week, it will need to be monitored for development.

[Aric Dunn]

CMC develops the area i posted on before, now.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Hmmm....something could form from this the environment is
more conducive to the west.

[jaxfladude]

Best of CAT 5(FISH) wishes to all of you.....