Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

[cycloneye]

The convection has to persist for 24 hours or more to then NHC be bullish on it.

[Sanibel]

I'll take Derek's word on it since 2007 is having fun making false waves and curvature on satellite as if the basin was alive and laughing at satellite watchers.


Edit: I'd swear that thing had spin to it on visible loop. (11N-27W)

[wxman57]

I didn't carry it as a tropical wave on my analysis this morning. There's definitely a wave out to the west around 34-35W with mid level turning near 12N/34W. This feature is actually between two waves in the inverted ridge axis, I guess you'd call it. It will be interesting to see if the convection persists for another 24 hours or so.

[mobilebay]

hairball, yikes ...what this blowup shows me is that SSTs are warming enuff for convective flareup and there appears to be an ULH overhead (notice the fingering effect of cirrus on the edges). Persistence is the key.

fingering effect. LOL!

[punkyg]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/VIS/20.jpg

I say that this wave looks pretty.

[Weatherfreak14]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/VIS/20.jpg

I say that this wave looks pretty.

Looks, pretty organized, but im not going to say "OMG its a TS now." LOl, Just did that for a joke, as everyone says persistance is key. and just maybe we might have something by the end of the week.

[AnnularCane]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/VIS/20.jpg

I say that this wave looks pretty.

Yeah, it's a cute little wave. I assume you are talking about the little "hairball." Unfortunately it is night out there right now, so I can't see anything in that picture.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON AUG 6 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[cycloneye]

The convection has to persist for 24 hours or more to then NHC be bullish on it.

[gatorcane]

Luis, yes if we are here tomorrow at this time with the "hairball" no doubt the NHC will mention it.

[skysummit]

I'm more concerned about the area before the hairball.

[canegrl04]

hairball, yikes ...what this blowup shows me is that SSTs are warming enuff for convective flareup and there appears to be an ULH overhead (notice the fingering effect of cirrus on the edges). Persistence is the key.

fingering effect. LOL!

It's a naughty sign that this one means business

[alan1961]

one things for sure..the hairball is putting a squeeze on the ITCZ before it.

[cycloneye]

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 25W/26W S OF 14N MOVING W
NEAR 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS MAINTAINING A BALL OF CONVECTION
LOCATED WITHIN 180 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS...WHICH IS WHAT HAS
MADE THIS WAVE TRACKABLE ON MET-9 SAT HOVMOLLER DIAGRAMS. NIGHT
CHANNEL VIS IMAGES INDICATE SOME LOW-LEVEL TURNING NEAR THE EDGE
OF THAT CONVECTIVE REGION HELPING TO PLACE THE WAVE AXIS.
HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WAVE SIGNATURE AND TURNING REMAINS
EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ.


8 PM Discussion from TPC about this wave.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This one should have some slow development.
Looks very impressive.

[miamicanes177]

Is this a tropical wave or not?

[Seele]

Here is a more up to date view of the hairball. The convection is diminishing but you can see the turning the discussion cycloneye posted mentioned.

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/listImages.pl?m=bnw,se=4,c=IR_108,f=1

[Derek Ortt]

it is between two waves, basically where the surface ridge is located. This may be a mistake in the TWO

[Cyclone1]

It's amazing how many people still refer to this as "a hairball". XD

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Have to see what happens with it tomorrow. Persistance