Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#41 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Aug 06, 2007 8:40 pm

Hurricane center said ball of convection, had they said hairball, I would have died laughing. Just an observation I made this morning, glad all had fun with it while we sit and wait for something.
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#42 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 06, 2007 8:59 pm

I'm looking at a satellite loop that goes back past last Friday. I can clearly see the system (now at 10N/29W) over Africa last Friday as a large area of convection. It moved offshore around 12Z Saturday and has been tracking westward at 15 kts since then. So it does appear to be a wave we've overlooked while focusing on 99L and the storms in the Gulf. It's something to watch, but convection is diminishing this evening.
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#43 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Aug 06, 2007 9:02 pm

Hmmm...a tropical depression in the near future?
And it might become one...persistance and the
waters are warmer...plus there is finally
some more moisture with those
dry waves that get eaten by SAL this
one may survive the SAL.
I'll watch this thing over the next
several days and would not be surprised
to see a system that developms
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#44 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 06, 2007 9:04 pm

What is near future? 24 hours? I say no. 72...maybe.
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#45 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Aug 06, 2007 9:08 pm

Near future like 48-72 hours or it dries and refires in the cariibbean
in 4-5 days.
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#46 Postby fci » Mon Aug 06, 2007 9:42 pm

Any chance that the thread name can be changed to "Hairball south of the Cape Verde Islands"?
:lol: :cheesy: :lol: :cheesy:
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Re:

#47 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Aug 06, 2007 9:48 pm

fci wrote:Any chance that the thread name can be changed to "Hairball south of the Cape Verde Islands"?
:lol: :cheesy: :lol: :cheesy:


I keep thinking of my 3 cats throwing up.Lets stick to calling it a wave :lol:
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#48 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 07, 2007 10:50 am

That false wave disappeared. Derek was right.

The rest of the ITCZ looks like false spins due to synoptics.

I honestly think we could take a few days off with no loss.
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#49 Postby Opal storm » Tue Aug 07, 2007 11:09 am

I'm not sure if this has already been posted or not but has anybody seen the 06z gfs? I know it's a long shot but...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#50 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 07, 2007 11:10 am

Yea, it's been discussed a lot. The 12z GFS is rolling out now.....waiting to see if it still shows Andrew's cousin.
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#51 Postby ncupsscweather » Tue Aug 07, 2007 11:22 am

That would be something to watch, But I am one that wouldn't put my money on the GFS at all for Tropical Developement. But that is just my personal opinion. I just can't wait until we do get something to develope. I thought maybe there at times we would have a chance with 99L but that busted.... I guess we will just have to wait and see.
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Re: Tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands

#52 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 07, 2007 11:27 am

That GFS delivers a whopper of a hurricane to Miami on August 23rd.

Thank god the models are almost always wrong at that distance.
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