GFS continues to develop African wave

[Scorpion]

[Aric Dunn]

interesting... although the ridge is strong notice the trough over the Ohio valley the timing would be the key.. but pointless to speculate right since nothing has even formed and that is not for a week!

but i do like the graphic where did you get it?

[gatorcane]

just great now other models are jumping on the GFS wagon for a direct SE Florida strike. I don't believe it still but becoming slightly more anxious today. I know its still 300 hours out but still....

[Scorpion]

interesting... although the ridge is strong notice the trough over the Ohio valley the timing would be the key.. but pointless to speculate right since nothing has even formed and that is not for a week!

but i do like the graphic where did you get it?

Got it from another wx forum

[storms in NC]

I wonder how many times we will hear OMG it is going to hit us Till we really know where it is going?

It hasn't even came off the coast yet much less formed into any thing and we have it heading right for us.LOL
Who want to keep count?

[Aric Dunn]

[img][/img]

interesting... although the ridge is strong notice the trough over the Ohio valley the timing would be the key.. but pointless to speculate right since nothing has even formed and that is not for a week!

but i do like the graphic where did you get it?

Got it from another wx forum

oh ... so some met posted it i gather

[weatherwoman]

florida is not getting that one it will a north carolina hit, its already turned missing the us so you know it will go between so that makes it a nc hurricane yeepie!

[DESTRUCTION5]

florida is not getting that one it will a north carolina hit, its already turned missing the us so you know it will go between so that makes it a nc hurricane yeepie!

Jack or Southern Comfort?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Where this goes is of no concern at this point. The bigger story is the fact that nearly all the models show this developing and it has been a very consistant feature for days.

[x-y-no]

I wonder how many times we will hear OMG it is going to hit us Till we really know where it is going?

It hasn't even came off the coast yet much less formed into any thing and we have it heading right for us.LOL
Who want to keep count?

But how would this affect Tampa Bay?

(just a little blast from the past)

[Aric Dunn]

florida is not getting that one it will a north carolina hit, its already turned missing the us so you know it will go between so that makes it a nc hurricane yeepie!

Jack or Southern Comfort?

both for me!! please

[storms in NC]

I wonder how many times we will hear OMG it is going to hit us Till we really know where it is going?

It hasn't even came off the coast yet much less formed into any thing and we have it heading right for us.LOL
Who want to keep count?

But how would this affect Tampa Bay?

(just a little blast from the past)

[Blown Away]

We are all setting ourselves up for disappointment!

[ronjon]

500 mb from 12Z Euro. I know it will change several times in the next week but not a good set up for FL.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2007080912!!/

[hial2]

We are all setting ourselves up for disappointment!

Sorta like "a watched pot never boils" scenario,huh?

[storms in NC]

500 mb from 12Z Euro. I know it will change several times in the next week but not a good set up for FL.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2007080912!!/

If the map holds out to be right then it would go out to sea. it will not go to a high but around one.

[ronjon]

500 mb from 12Z Euro. I know it will change several times in the next week but not a good set up for FL.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2007080912!!/

If the map holds out to be right then it would go out to sea. it will not go to a high but around one.

Negative, it would miss the trough and go under the ridge in the southeast.

[Agua]

But how would this affect Tampa Bay?

(just a little blast from the past)

[Bluefrog]

someone needs to change all these models ..... we need about 3 more years to recover here before we are ready to take on even a topical storm ..

[storms in NC]

someone needs to change all these models ..... we need about 3 more years to recover here before we are ready to take on even a topical storm ..

AMAN