Global Models Thread for 90L

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jimvb
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#41 Postby jimvb » Fri Aug 10, 2007 1:56 pm

We should see this storm pop off the African coast any moment now. The 2007 August 10 12Z run is in. It calls for gasoline to be somewhere around $4 a gallon. In fact, it goes south of Florida and then into the Gulf, hitting Mississippi, like Katrina and Rita. Please go somewhere else, storm. It looks like it will be called Dean because it is going to form more quickly than the mess in the Caribbean. We get Erin in the Gulf, then Dean. That is, if you believe the GFS from this far out. I think it could go almost anywhere.
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#42 Postby bvigal » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:06 pm

Wow, I don't usually listen to the radio much, but today had it on in the car. The regional "meteorologist" who records weather forecasts for radio mentioned this thing. I wish I could quote him EXACTLY, because everyone here would get a good laugh - it's a knee-thumper!

Basically, he said a low was coming off Africa that would later become Hurricane Dean, and he said it would miss the islands, etc., pretty much what the GFS shows. Can you believe it? Maybe he has a crystal ball and someone on the other side of time, in future, to tell him exactly what will take place! :lol:
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#43 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:10 pm

jimvb wrote:We should see this storm pop off the African coast any moment now. The 2007 August 10 12Z run is in. It calls for gasoline to be somewhere around $4 a gallon. In fact, it goes south of Florida and then into the Gulf, hitting Mississippi, like Katrina and Rita. Please go somewhere else, storm. It looks like it will be called Dean because it is going to form more quickly than the mess in the Caribbean. We get Erin in the Gulf, then Dean. That is, if you believe the GFS from this far out. I think it could go almost anywhere.


"pop" or "poof"?, I'll believe "pop" when I see it. I dont think we should be handing names out prior to invests being assigned.
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#44 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:19 pm

Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Scorpion

#45 Postby Scorpion » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:20 pm

Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?
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Re:

#46 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:30 pm

Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?

Yeah... I could say it, but I don't want to.
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#47 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:33 pm

that clown who said that about the system on the radio should be showed a red card and set off of the air for good
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Re:

#48 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?

NO! I don't even see a TD yet
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Re:

#49 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:38 pm

Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?


Wow it's been since 1992 that South Florida (metro Palm Beach County, Broward, Miami-Dade) have seen a major. We are way overdue.
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#50 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:40 pm

gatorcane Wins first prize in "We are Do" :lol: Here's your sign :lol:
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Re: Re:

#51 Postby Trader Ron » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:43 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?


Wow it's been since 1992 that South Florida (metro Palm Beach County, Broward, Miami-Dade) have seen a major. We are way overdue.


You will go broke betting on Due. :D
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Re:

#52 Postby Trader Ron » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:45 pm

Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?


Lets wait until it gets it's feet wet.

:D
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Re: Re:

#53 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:45 pm

Trader Ron wrote:
gatorcane wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?


Wow it's been since 1992 that South Florida (metro Palm Beach County, Broward, Miami-Dade) have seen a major. We are way overdue.


You will go broke betting on Due. :D


The Red Sox were due, we all see how long that took. Now the Cubs are due.
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Re: All Models Showing Development, CV Long Tracker.

#54 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:58 pm

East Atlantic/African Loop:

30 Minute Intervals
WARNING DIAL UP USERS!

http://www.fileden.com/files/18682/SEL_45_20070810.0330.msg2.ir.x.sahara_dust.x.gif

EDIT - I would just right click and save it.
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#55 Postby terstorm1012 » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:00 pm

storms in NC wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?

NO! I don't even see a TD yet


I don't even see a wave yet!

Models are awfully bullish on something whose causative system doesn't even exist.
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Re: All Models Showing Development, CV Long Tracker.

#56 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:02 pm

No there is clearly a wave and its the best looking one so far.

It has a decent chance. I am going with the models on this one.

Lookie at the nice looking system about ready to roll of Africa... :eek:

Check the date and think :eek:

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Brent
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Re:

#57 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:03 pm

Scorpion wrote:Boy that Euro is ominous... can you say major hurricane barreling down on SFL?


I'll believe it when I see it.

I wish this darn thing would develop, I'm sick of having NOTHING to track.
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Re: All Models Showing Development, CV Long Tracker.

#58 Postby ronjon » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:07 pm

The Euro builds in an Upper Level Ridge at 10 days to prevent the recurvature. On that track, it would cross S FL and move into the GOM like the 12Z GFS was showing. But it will change, so it's entertainment for now.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2007081012!!/
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Re: All Models Showing Development, CV Long Tracker.

#59 Postby hial2 » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:09 pm

This is like waiting for your child to be born...Africa is having contractions,but nothing yet..
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Re: All Models Showing Development, CV Long Tracker.

#60 Postby windstorm99 » Fri Aug 10, 2007 3:09 pm

Image
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