The more important thing is the track.cycloneye wrote:Aquawind wrote:
That is impressive as it exits..no hesitation..lol Consecutive runs as well..
Paul,I dont think this will develop as quickly as GFS is showing but time will tell how all evolves.
GFS continues to develop African wave
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
miamicanes177 wrote:My prediction for this run is another powerhouse hurricane in the GOM. The GFS is getting a better handle on it hour by hour so look for this GOM trend to become entrenched.
Well if you are that good then can you tell me what the winning
lotto numbers are for tomorrow night.

Seriously though way too early to call for something that is not
even there yet.
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
Luis, this may be on your door step.
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs. 11.7N/36.2W. Of course, I fully expect the GFS to pick many landfall points over the next 7-10 days. I feel pretty good that the 18Z GFS put it into the upper TX coast August 23rd. What are the odds of the GFS being right 2 weeks out? 

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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
I'm pretty sure the GFS is going to slam the system into a plethora of major cities over the next several (dozen) runs.wxman57 wrote:I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs. 11.7N/36.2W. Of course, I fully expect the GFS to pick many landfall points over the next 7-10 days. I feel pretty good that the 18Z GFS put it into the upper TX coast August 23rd. What are the odds of the GFS being right 2 weeks out?
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
punkyg wrote:You actually think it will reach the GOM, if that was to actually happen, then i will be soooooooo excited.miamicanes177 wrote:My prediction for this run is another powerhouse hurricane in the GOM. The GFS is getting a better handle on it hour by hour so look for this GOM trend to become entrenched.
Excited about what $4 gasoline prices or about possibly having to evacuate?
You can have all the excitement you want but just keep it away from
my area.
Last edited by Stormcenter on Fri Aug 10, 2007 10:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
sevenleft wrote:I'm pretty sure the GFS is going to slam the system into a plethora of major cities over the next several (dozen) runs.wxman57 wrote:I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs. 11.7N/36.2W. Of course, I fully expect the GFS to pick many landfall points over the next 7-10 days. I feel pretty good that the 18Z GFS put it into the upper TX coast August 23rd. What are the odds of the GFS being right 2 weeks out?

It already has!
So far we've had:
New York City
Miami
New Orleans
Houston
and a fish. Not much left...
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
It looks less than 1004mbs to me. Right below the 1004mb symbol there is a 1003mb symbol.
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
That means one of those locations has to be right in the end. lol. The GFS seems to be covering all options so that it can look correct no matter what.Brent wrote:sevenleft wrote:I'm pretty sure the GFS is going to slam the system into a plethora of major cities over the next several (dozen) runs.wxman57 wrote:I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs. 11.7N/36.2W. Of course, I fully expect the GFS to pick many landfall points over the next 7-10 days. I feel pretty good that the 18Z GFS put it into the upper TX coast August 23rd. What are the odds of the GFS being right 2 weeks out?
It already has!
So far we've had:
New York City
Miami
New Orleans
Houston
and a fish. Not much left...
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
I thought the GFS went from 72 hours to 78 hours?wxman57 wrote:I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs.
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
The most serious part of the threat is an Andrew or Katrina type track. The Miami to GOM to <insert major gulf coast city here> track.Brent wrote:sevenleft wrote:I'm pretty sure the GFS is going to slam the system into a plethora of major cities over the next several (dozen) runs.wxman57 wrote:I'm getting the new GFS in GARP as it's issued. 1003mb at 75 hrs. 11.7N/36.2W. Of course, I fully expect the GFS to pick many landfall points over the next 7-10 days. I feel pretty good that the 18Z GFS put it into the upper TX coast August 23rd. What are the odds of the GFS being right 2 weeks out?
It already has!
So far we've had:
New York City
Miami
New Orleans
Houston
and a fish. Not much left...
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Re: GFS develops African wave=00z GFS run is rolling in
I don't have a car nor do i think i'll have to evacuate from my area and don't be so nice you can have some of the fun come to your place, then well be hurricane buddiesStormcenter wrote:punkyg wrote:You actually think it will reach the GOM, if that was to actually happen, then i will be soooooooo excited.miamicanes177 wrote:My prediction for this run is another powerhouse hurricane in the GOM. The GFS is getting a better handle on it hour by hour so look for this GOM trend to become entrenched.
Excited about what $4 gasoline prices or about possibly having to evacuate?
You can have all the excitement you want but just keep it away from
my area.

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H-90...Due west with a strong ridge anchored to the north
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_090l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_090l.gif
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