Global Models Thread for 90L

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Aric Dunn
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Re: Re:

#181 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:22 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:yeah seriously .. here while were at it lets have a individual threads for the cmc , ukmet, nogaps, euro, and all the other ones that will help !


No need for sarcasm there Aric...

I sent a message to luis asking him if he could merge both of the threads together, to make it a little easier. But personally after all the chatter, since that one thread... I thought we were just supposed to make threads if we wanted to. There is always someone whos not happy right? :wink:


no worries! i fine either way im only going to post in one thread.... maybe i will just make one thats an all around thread. :)
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Re: GFS Thread=12z run of GFS will roll in starting at 11:30 AM

#182 Postby Sanibel » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:23 am

If the initial point is up in that main blob it is at 12N (which is rather high for what GFS is predicting).
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Re: Re:

#183 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:24 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:yeah seriously .. here while were at it lets have a individual threads for the cmc , ukmet, nogaps, euro, and all the other ones that will help !


No need for sarcasm there Aric...

I sent a message to luis asking him if he could merge both of the threads together, to make it a little easier. But personally after all the chatter, since that one thread... I thought we were just supposed to make threads if we wanted to. There is always someone whos not happy right? :wink:


no worries! i fine either way im only going to post in one thread.... maybe i will just make one thats an all around thread. :)

LOL... :D
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Re: Models apart from GFS Showing Development, CV Long Tracker

#184 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:24 am

Sanibel wrote:If the initial center is up in that main blob it is around 12N (which is high up). Granted the Atlantic ridge is really pressing south and should keep it west - but, like I was saying before, that is high in latitude for what GFS is predicting.


its unlikely that we will see much in the way of any north motion.
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Re: GFS Thread=12z run of GFS will roll in starting at 11:30 AM

#185 Postby storms in NC » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:27 am

Sanibel wrote:If the initial point is up in that main blob it is at 12N (which is rather high for what GFS is predicting).

If that is true then it will throw things off. will be new Models coming out. Maybe a out to sea one? :D
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Re: All Models Showing Development

#186 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:28 am

gatorcane wrote:
jimvb wrote:Blown_away, two runs of the GFS did send the storm into the Gulf or farther south or implied such a sending. One of them called for a bulls-eye hit on Miami, from which I suppose it would go into the Gulf. Another one had such a strong Bermuda high pressure ridge that the storm went far south into the Caribbean and hit Guatemala and southern Mexico.


Anybody in Florida getting a bit anxious since several runs are showing South Florida hits...they do change on some runs but South Florida has been the target by a couple of models now.



:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#187 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:29 am

Ok folks,we have a main thread for all the models.Now the members can post all the models in one thread,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,EURO and CMC.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#188 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:31 am

cycloneye wrote:Ok folks,we have a main thread for all the models.Now the members can post all the models in one thread,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,EURO and CMC.



NAM?
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#189 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:35 am

Do the long range models on average tend to move these systems across the Atlantic to fast or to slow?
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#190 Postby secretforecaster » Sat Aug 11, 2007 9:46 am

cycloneye wrote:Ok folks,we have a main thread for all the models.Now the members can post all the models in one thread,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,EURO and CMC.



Okay good. I was getting confused.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#191 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:01 am

Image

The UKMET track.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#192 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:17 am

The UKMET track looks like "Fish"
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#193 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:18 am

secretforecaster wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Ok folks,we have a main thread for all the models.Now the members can post all the models in one thread,GFS,NOGAPS,UKMET,EURO and CMC.



Okay good. I was getting confused.



is this invest 90l?!??!
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#194 Postby storms in NC » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:19 am

cycloneye wrote:Image

The UKMET track.


If that hold true you all in the Island can breath a little.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS starts rolling at 11:30 AM

#195 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:23 am

storms in NC wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Image

The UKMET track.


If that hold true you all in the Island can breath a little.


way to early for that.... although, it could pass north and into the bahamas... that run will change again with the next run..


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Re: Models thread=12 GFS is rolling in

#196 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:37 am

18 hours
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS is rolling in

#197 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:42 am

36 hours

Not much change in pressure.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS is rolling in

#198 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:48 am

48 hours

1005 mbs

It seems to be more slower than in past runs in terms of development.
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Re: Models thread=12 GFS is rolling in

#199 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:51 am

cycloneye wrote:48 hours

1005 mbs

It seems to be more slower than in past runs in terms of development.


thats good if you want it to track further west and have a long track system..


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#200 Postby x-y-no » Sat Aug 11, 2007 10:54 am

The mid-level weakness at 50W-55W doesn't look as pronounced as in some earlier runs. This may turn out to be a more southerly track ...
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