Global Models Thread for 90L

[storms in NC]

UK is a little more northerly.

What storm was it that started off way west in the Gulf and with each run keep going east? I think it was Ernesto and went up the middle of Fl to NC

[cycloneye]

LInk to the UK?

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots.html

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Think so.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

12Z Euro will be out at 2:30 Central time.

[cycloneye]

The 12z UKMET track.

[Wx_Warrior]

Please post KFDM @ 230 please.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Sure. Mr. Bastardi! or someone will.

[cycloneye]

12z CMC Animation

Here is the 12z CMC.Avoids the Leewards.

[Cyclone1]

WHAO! I know this is off topic, but look at the hurricane that the CMC takes to Florida! That's a new track.

[storms in NC]

Sure. Mr. Bastardi! or someone will.

Can I say that I really don't like what Mr JB has to say in weather.I have never seen him right yet. If he was I missed it. I am very sorry I don't want to hurt any one. it is JMO

[KFDM Meteorologist]

12z CMC Animation

Here is the 12z CMC.Avoids the Leewards.

Can you animinate it?

[cycloneye]

12z CMC Animation

Here is the 12z CMC.Avoids the Leewards.

Can you animinate it?

At the right click FWD and it animates to 144 hours.

[MGC]

Isn't it fun watching all the phamtom cyclones the various models spin up. I wonder how many times we would be through the alaphabet by now if the models were correct if only half the time. I guess since there are no real storms at least we can track ghosts.....MGC

[KFDM Meteorologist]

CMC model is terrible.

[miamicanes177]

Isn't it fun watching all the phamtom cyclones the various models spin up. I wonder how many times we would be through the alaphabet by now if the models were correct if only half the time. I guess since there are no real storms at least we can track ghosts.....MGC

The GFS has performed exceptional in 2007. The CMC will always be kind of crazy but overall I think the models have shown great improvement. I can not recall a single time this year the GFS has consistently shown a tropical storm and it did not form. Can you?

[brunota2003]

Isn't it fun watching all the phamtom cyclones the various models spin up. I wonder how many times we would be through the alaphabet by now if the models were correct if only half the time. I guess since there are no real storms at least we can track ghosts.....MGC

The GFS has performed exceptional in 2007. The CMC will always be kind of crazy but overall I think the models have shown great improvement. I can not recall a single time this year the GFS has consistently shown a tropical storm and it did not form. Can you?

The wave trains off of Africa, the system in the GOM was also the GFS, wasnt it?

[Scorpion]

Anyone know when the ECMWF comes out?

[vacanechaser]

Isn't it fun watching all the phamtom cyclones the various models spin up. I wonder how many times we would be through the alaphabet by now if the models were correct if only half the time. I guess since there are no real storms at least we can track ghosts.....MGC

will have to disagree at this point... all of the globals show development of this system.. in the past, when they all showed development, you can count on it....



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Derek Ortt]

it's hard to take the models seriously when they initialize a category 4 hurricane as a broad area of low pressure, yet form cat 7s out of nothing

[vacanechaser]

it's hard to take the models seriously when they initialize a category 4 hurricane as a broad area of low pressure, yet form cat 7s out of nothing

i dont disagree with that... however, all the globals show it... in past times, that is a good sign that development is likely... no matter how strong, development is likely... just my observations in the past...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team