Global Models Thread for 90L

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Brent
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#361 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:42 pm

So... where will it hit this time?

:P
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#362 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:43 pm

30 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_030l.gif

~1007mbs.
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#363 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:47 pm

48 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_048l.gif

~1004mbs. Still heading nearly due west.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#364 Postby Blown Away » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:50 pm

Brent wrote:So... where will it hit this time?

:P

Each run nudges a little further east, I'll say into Fl Peninsula this time. My prediction yesterday was a possible Carolina storm.
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#365 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:52 pm

54 hrs..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif

1004-1006mb range.
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#366 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:52 pm

60 hours, 1003 mb

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_060l.gif
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#367 Postby stormchazer » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:57 pm

Blown_away wrote:
Brent wrote:So... where will it hit this time?

:P

Each run nudges a little further east, I'll say into Fl Peninsula this time. My prediction yesterday was a possible Carolina storm.


Do you mean a little further west? I am on the peninsula but I still think that there is more likely a recurve for the system down the road. The BH looks strong but we have seen Fronts moving off at a fair interval. It seems that odds would say that one would catch it an stear it away. Of course I would have better odds shooting "craps" then calling a shot on this one right now.

What stinks is we have to wait 10 days to know for sure :lol:
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#368 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:57 pm

66 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_066l.gif

unsure of exact pressure shown. 1006mbs?
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Re: Models Thread for 90L

#369 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:58 pm

78 hours, 1004 mb

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_078l.gif
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#370 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 4:58 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_066l.gif

500 at 66 HRS
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#371 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:00 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_078l.gif

500 at 78hrs.
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#372 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:02 pm

There is a weakness there over the Bahamas.
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#373 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:04 pm

That weakness has been there for every run and ends up eventually always closing up before the system reaches it.

Here it is in the 12z run at 84 hrs...http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_500_084l.gif
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#374 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:05 pm

Yup. Saw that earlier. Even the Euro has a high over the Bahamas as it approaches.
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#375 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:05 pm

90 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_090l.gif

~1004/1005mbs.
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#376 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:07 pm

96 hrs (18z Wed)..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_096l.gif

1002mbs.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#377 Postby flwxwatcher » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:11 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Can't wait to see what the 18Z GFS shows.. :roll: It doesn't have all the data put into it like the 12 and 0Z runs.


Yes and sometimes the 18Z run comes up with some totally different solutions because of that it seems.
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#378 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:11 pm

500 Wednesday the 15th

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_096l.gif
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#379 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:12 pm

114 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_114l.gif

~1003mbs. Moving a hair north of due west.

500mb pattern in 114hrs = http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_114l.gif
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#380 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Aug 11, 2007 5:13 pm

:eek:
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