CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

storms in NC wrote:If we have a TC in the Gulf how long will it stay? And what will it do to TD4? Is that the reason they have moved all to the right? or is it the ridge? Or will the TC in the Gulf weaken the ridge for TD4 to go North?

Deb

The GOM system will be inland around 72 hours so and it is moving away(w-wnw) so it will have no effect on 91L. The reason the models moved north is more associated with the east ATL ridging than anything in the GOM.

Wx_Warrior · #608 Postby **Wx_Warrior** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:23 pm

The mystery continues....

#609 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:24 pm

138 500 MB..Weakness turns it north

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_138l.gif

Extremeweatherguy · #610 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:24 pm

Don't forget that the 18z run is based off some of the 12z data. This could be the reason why the two runs are so similar. I am more interested in seeing the 0z run tonight.

Wx_Warrior · #611 Postby **Wx_Warrior** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:25 pm

I'll get this down sooner or later..>What time is the 0z EWG?

Extremeweatherguy · #612 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:26 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:I'll get this down sooner or later..>What time is the 0z EWG?

later this evening. It usually starts coming out around 10:30pm CDT.

Scorpion · #613 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:28 pm

More west at 150..

Aquawind · #614 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:28 pm

12z and 18z are from similar data so I expect no major changes(like Extreme mentioned above). The 00Z is a fresh set of data and thus could easily show a change back into the Caribbean.. Looks like it gets stronger the further north the track goes..or is that stronger goes further north.. :wink:

#615 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:29 pm

150 hrs

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif

#616 Postby **windstorm99** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:30 pm

#617 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:31 pm

500 150 hr. Notice the high over Pensacola. If this pans out East Coast of FL would be in trouble.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_150l.gif

Weatherfreak14 · #618 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:32 pm

Wow this run could take this as a FISH.

Website · #619 Postby **Brent** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:33 pm

This looks like a total U.S. miss

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_168l.gif

500 mb:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_168l.gif

#620 Postby **windstorm99** » Mon Aug 13, 2007 5:34 pm

Could be out to sea on a NNE movement.

CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

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Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

Re: Global Models for TD4=18z GFS run is being posted

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