CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Wx_Warrior]

WOW....This would be FANTASTICO for everyone (except ones on here that way strikes)...I'll continue to be optimistic and not put too much into these early runs but I do like the northward trend. Wish we could get the EURO going that way!

[PTrackerLA]

Yep looks like out to sea.

[Scorpion]

No way this run verifies.. that better be a hell of a strong trough to take it up from near PR all the way out to sea

[miamicanes177]

I'll be sick to my stomach if this is a fish

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

It will be very interesting to read the next discussion by Derek Ortt and see what he thinks about these changes.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Why? you want a disaster?

[Brent]

Close call but ESE of Cape Cod!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

192..out to sea

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_192l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

We'll see what the 0Z shows later tonight.

[WindRunner]

Please remember that this is an off-hour run and is probably not as reliable as the 00z and 12z runs will be.


On the other hand, this is a far more reasonable solution than the last two days of GFS runs . . . so I would hope that a similar solution is found at 00z and that we finally have a reasonable medium-range track to go with.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Me to!

[deltadog03]

well, I don't know what to say GFS....BUT*** this is what I expect from you! I think the European has the best initial idea of where this MIGHT** go. I will say this. .....That track, from the Euro, would be an IDEAL teleconnected track from the SW Pacific. Also, that track has pretty much happend TWICE this year out there!

[Weatherfreak14]

Wow, the latest GFS model is taking this a fish, could this be a vitial run. Probably not we will have to wait till the 00z run of the GFS to see what it says then, but this is definatly a possible big turn around for the track of this.

[msbee]

I'll be sick to my stomach if this is a fish

so you want it to hit land somewhere?

[ncweatherwizard]

Do you have any graphics for the predicted track?

I'd really love to have graphics; I tried once with Google Earth maps, and they were nice, but it takes a long time to do those nicely. Hopefully, I can come up with a good way to do it before too long, but I'll be busy with stuff for awhile.

[jasons2k]

I just don't see it. IMO two runs in a row for the trash bin.

[Weatherfreak000]

I'm not harping on U.S. Landfall here but....given the current trend I just don't think this forecast is gonna verify.

I've pretty much seeing a U.S. Landfall, regardless of GOM or EC. It's going somewhere, but that's just an opinion.

We'll see if it holds this Western with the occasionally south jog motion.

[miamicanes177]

I'll be sick to my stomach if this is a fish

so you want it to hit land somewhere?

I don't want anybody hurt but for some reason they are more fun to track when they hit land. I've been through katrina and Ivan so I know what it is like.

[Noles2006]

I'll be sick to my stomach if this is a fish

You are sick.

[clfenwi]

QuikScat just managed to capture TD4. Looking at the image zoomed in, it does look like there are a couple of uncontaminated 40 kt barbs in there.