CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Sanibel]

No need to overreact. Some members are just citing that GFS is changing destinations. I myself think Florida is more and more becoming the mean of these fluctuations, but the final synoptic is what will determine that.

[artist]

there is a turning out ahead of it at around 12/48. Any significance to it?

[Brent]

903mb If Dean were to do that,he will out rank Katrina in the anals of history . BTW,it was on this day that Camille formed

I believe you mean "annals"

!!!!!!!!!

[canegrl04]

903mb If Dean were to do that,he will out rank Katrina in the anals of history . BTW,it was on this day that Camille formed

I believe you mean "annals"

OMG I didn't realize

[x-y-no]

12z ECMWF at 24 hours




It initialized Dean very weak and is losing him already at 24 hours.

[HurryKane]

903mb If Dean were to do that,he will out rank Katrina in the anals of history . BTW,it was on this day that Camille formed

I believe you mean "annals"

She may have meant "anals"! LOL!

True, true....

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

...EASTERN UNITED STATES...

A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL SLICE ALL THE WAY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES THIS PERIOD...WITH COOL...DRY...CONTINENTAL POLAR
AIR FOLLOWING IN ITS WAKE. LOWS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE MORE
REMINISCENT OF FALL THAN LATE SUMMER ACROSS THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST...WITH SOME COLDER SPOTS IN THE 30S.


Source:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html

[Scorpion]

What is up with the Euro?

[EyELeSs1]

LLC definitely becoming exposed again. If you look the center does appear to be jogging a bit to the north now... not just because convection is being sheared away either. It also seems to have slowed down a bit recently...not sure what to make of this yet though

[x-y-no]

By the way, something happened to the Search utility. I can't find it.

I bet search was disabled - most likely due to the recent spike in TS Dean/91L/Flossie activity.

This is what announcements are for, people!

[HUC]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN

The storm passed yhe buoy 12N 38W;the values are rather clear of a system in it's formative stage.
No pressures data!

[windstorm99]

...EASTERN UNITED STATES...

A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL SLICE ALL THE WAY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES THIS PERIOD...WITH COOL...DRY...CONTINENTAL POLAR
AIR FOLLOWING IN ITS WAKE. LOWS SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE MORE
REMINISCENT OF FALL THAN LATE SUMMER ACROSS THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST...WITH SOME COLDER SPOTS IN THE 30S.


Source:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html

Hmmmm...Could very well play an important role in the coming days.

[Sanibel]

Dean went right over that buoy because the wind went from N to S in 4 readings. 15 meters per second is a good wind!

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Anyone else have any EURO yet? It hasn't updated on my system here.

[punkyg]

By the way, something happened to the Search utility. I can't find it.

I bet search was disabled - most likely due to the recent spike in TS Dean/91L/Flossie activity.

This is what announcements are for, people!

Don't worry about me i have not been posting alot and i keep going to wunderground so i know i'm helping the site. Captain Punkyg!

so when are the next gfs run coming out?

[cycloneye]

WHXX01 KWBC 141848
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1848 UTC TUE AUG 14 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE DEAN (AL042007) 20070814 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070814 1800 070815 0600 070815 1800 070816 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.6N 40.2W 12.5N 43.1W 13.3N 46.8W 13.8N 51.4W
BAMD 11.6N 40.2W 11.9N 43.6W 12.4N 47.3W 12.9N 51.0W
BAMM 11.6N 40.2W 12.2N 43.5W 12.9N 47.3W 13.3N 51.6W
LBAR 11.6N 40.2W 11.6N 43.9W 11.9N 48.2W 12.3N 52.6W
SHIP 35KTS 40KTS 47KTS 55KTS
DSHP 35KTS 40KTS 47KTS 55KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070816 1800 070817 1800 070818 1800 070819 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 14.4N 56.2W 14.7N 64.9W 14.1N 69.7W 16.0N 71.5W
BAMD 13.4N 54.5W 14.2N 60.7W 16.0N 66.2W 18.1N 71.6W
BAMM 13.7N 55.7W 13.7N 62.5W 14.7N 67.0W 17.1N 71.3W
LBAR 12.6N 57.0W 14.7N 62.0W 15.3N 67.2W .0N .0W
SHIP 59KTS 79KTS 89KTS 90KTS
DSHP 59KTS 79KTS 89KTS 90KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.6N LONCUR = 40.2W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 18KT
LATM12 = 11.8N LONM12 = 36.5W DIRM12 = 265DEG SPDM12 = 22KT
LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 32.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 30NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 30NM



No big changes.Only a tad slower.

[artist]

[color=#BF0000]

there is a turning out ahead of it at around 12/48. Any significance to it?

[/color]

[Brent]

Center .1 to the south again.

[punkyg]

I wanna know is Dean starting to slow down.

[windycity]

Dean, what about going through the Hebert Box? Has that changed?