CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Steve]

lol artist. I don't think it's much of anything /blue

Steve

[fox13weather]

Dean went right over that buoy because the wind went from N to S in 4 readings. 15 meters per second is a good wind!

30mph or so

[Derek Ortt]

Has a similar signature to Dolly in 2002... which was a classic SAL satellite signature. Looks like some low to mid level dry air is putting the brakes on the convection and intensification for the moment

[SouthFLTropics]

Wasn't Dolly the storm that skirted the North coast of Haiti and was forecasted to head to South Florida and then abruptly died out? Or was that Debby?

[storms in NC]

TS dean should start to slow down now. I said last night around 40-45 you should see his to slow a tad.

Brent It will go down and up. you will have ~~~~~~ not -------- No storm does that. Do I have to say the word. PLEASE DON"T MAKE ME SAY IT. I will tell you what you want Please any thing but that.LOLOLOLOL

[cheezyWXguy]

Has a similar signature to Dolly in 2002... which was a classic SAL satellite signature. Looks like some low to mid level dry air is putting the brakes on the convection and intensification for the moment

When do you think the dry air or whatever is hindering development will let up? Do you think the diurnal max will help the system to intensify?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Any EURO?

[MWatkins]

Water vapor imagery is showing a pretty strong punch of stable air pushing down on Dean from the NE. There is plenty of moisture in the envelope...but you can see where the outflow has been undercut. This should explain the surge west and slightly south.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.jpg

I would put the whole loop in here but the SAB site is predictably slow...

Guessing this is temporary...but something to keep an eye on.

MW

[storms in NC]

Any EURO?

You know KFDM it will be follow the leader.

[sponger]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_126l.gif

is this dean s. of cuba? holly mother of god! if it is a 904mb landfall would be absolutely catastrophic!! thankfully cuba's communist government knows how to deal w/hurricanes and evacuation better than we.

Huh? Lets leave your politics in the socialists for a better tomorrow forumn!

[artist]

Mike - there is a pretty solid spin right ahead of it approx. 11 or 12/ 48. Would this be significant of anything? Thanks

[southerngale]

Euro - 192 hrs - Miami
Info per a met - run not out for public yet

[Javlin]

TS dean should start to slow down now. I said last night around 40-45 you should see his to slow a tad.

Brent It will go down and up. you will have ~~~~~~ not -------- No storm does that. Do I have to say the word. PLEASE DON"T MAKE ME SAY IT. I will tell you what you want Please any thing but that.LOLOLOLOL

That little vortice I mentioned in another thread looks too of slowed @ 11N 50W Dean appears to be closing in for the kill so yea yuo're right maybe 45W on some good slowing maybe.

[x-y-no]

Anyone else have any EURO yet? It hasn't updated on my system here.

I posted 24 hours in the models thread.

It initialized way too weak, so I don't know how much the run is worth. It starts getting the system back after 24, track more northerly.

Sorry, I don't have time to do images - trying to do my job whilst also monitoring the board performance (we're way into uncharted territory in terms of load).

[Brent]

Wasn't Dolly the storm that skirted the North coast of Haiti and was forecasted to head to South Florida and then abruptly died out? Or was that Debby?

Debby. Dolly didn't affect anyone:

[tgenius]

So who's more credible, GFS or Euro? At this point, that far out, my bet is neither!

[Derek Ortt]

the euro... very good mid latitude model... not designed for TCs

[k4sdi]

Herbert box herbert box herbert box

Correct me if I'm wrong,

Most hurricanes to strike FL have traveled through the Herbert box. The majority of hurricanes that go through the Herbert Box don't hit FL.

[HUC]

cycloneye,the latest num model put Dean over the central island chain,around Martinica!That a change to a more south track,increasing the threat for my location..............

[Extremecane]

latest Euro takes it north into miami not sure how strong