INVEST 91L -Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

[weatherrabbit_tx]

Not to thread hijack, but this is in a similar vein, did NWS HGX site go down?

yes they are for some unknown reason.....

[cpdaman]

the recon obs tend to verify this , and that there is a broad center

the plane just flew down the 90 longitude line thru the storm for it's first pass

23 knots at i beleive 600 feet was the best so far (might want to check that 1)

[vaffie]

Click on this link to see where the recon's pressure measurements have been relative to where the National Hurricane Center's last two estimated positions.

https://bigfile.bcm.tmc.edu/outbound/vb ... ssures.jpg

[Extremeweatherguy]

lowest pressure is definitely within that blob!

[HouTXmetro]

The models are tightly clustered just North of Brownsville. I would be preparing if I were in Brownsville or Corpus.

[HURAKAN]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

[RL3AO]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

They still have a few passes to go. They might find some.

[Stormcenter]

The models are tightly clustered just North of Brownsville. I would be preparing if I were in Brownsville or Corpus.

Too early to call in my opinion. It all depends on where the
center ends up forming.

[panhandlehurricane79]

so this will become a hurricane? i think so and it will hit houston i think.

[Extremeweatherguy]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

I think they have found high enough winds for a minimal depression so far..but they are still looking and will probably find higher winds. We will see..

[RL3AO]

so this will become a hurricane? i think so and it will hit houston i think.

Unlikely, yet possible.

[southerngale]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

I thought there wasn't a maximum needed on winds for a depression... just under 39mph.

[Stormcenter]

so this will become a hurricane? i think so and it will hit houston i think.

Unlikely, yet possible.

I guess it's like me winning the lotto huh?

[Derek Ortt]

circulation does not appear to be weel enough defined for a vortex message

However, I have seen a lot less given names in the GOM, so we'll have to wait and see

[HURAKAN]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

I thought there wasn't a maximum needed on winds for a depression... just under 39mph.

But if in the case of finding winds like 15 mph and a 1007 mb well-defined LLC, the NHC won't upgrade it to depression. Just a hypothesis, not that this is the case.

[HarlequinBoy]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

I thought there wasn't a maximum needed on winds for a depression... just under 39mph.

I believe you're correct.

[cpdaman]

the minimum is 23 mph

[Extremeweatherguy]

So, we have a LLC but the winds are not strong enough to be declared a depression?

I thought there wasn't a maximum needed on winds for a depression... just under 39mph.

But if in the case of finding winds like 15 mph and a 1007 mb well-defined LLC, the NHC won't upgrade it to depression. Just a hypothesis, not that this is the case.

so far they have found winds in the 20-25mph range.

[vaffie]

T number up to 1.5 at 1745Z (1.5 hours ago). Center estimated by Dvorak technique to be 23.4N, 90.2W.

[HURAKAN]

so far they have found winds in the 20-25mph range.

I have never seen the NHC or any other agency upgrading a system to 20 or 25 mph.