CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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#1741 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:10 pm

102 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_102l.gif
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Scorpion

#1742 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:10 pm

Huh? Euro takes it into Florida and then the GOM as a very intense hurricane, NOGAPS never really did anything with it, and GFDL has it going into the Caribbean as a 970ish hurricane
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#1743 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:11 pm

wont be losing money now
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1744 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:11 pm

GFDL and the Euro do not dissipate this(FAR FROM IT). NOGAPS has never developed it. What are you talking about?!

Don't people remember the last 2 afternoons, convection waned, people declared it dead, and it came back.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1745 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:12 pm

GFS shows in interesting feature off the coast of florida in 96 hours. This feature extends down into the 500mb map also.
Image

Image
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#1746 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.8 /1002.0mb/ 41.0kt
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1747 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

Explain what that means SFWX...?
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Re:

#1748 Postby destruction92 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm



this graphic shows a trough off the east coast near the bahamas.
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#1749 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_114l.gif

114 HR
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1750 Postby Extremecane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Maybe that flareup is a start of somethig also its now in diurnal maximum
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#1751 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

114 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_114l.gif
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1752 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Extremecane wrote:Maybe that flareup is a start of somethig also its now in diurnal maximum


Still about 10 hours away from D-max.
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#1753 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Guess who is coming back:

Image

Image
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#1754 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Jamaica bound perhaps?
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1755 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

Brent wrote:GFDL and the Euro do not dissipate this(FAR FROM IT). NOGAPS has never developed it. What are you talking about?!

Don't people remember the last 2 afternoons, convection waned, people declared it dead, and it came back.


My sentiment also Dean actually seems to be relaxing in the sense the lack of E shear on the system.I might be wrong but I think it might perk up a bit later and get something going.just have to wait and see.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1756 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

126

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_126m.gif
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#1757 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

126 HR

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_126l.gif
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1758 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

What is that off Florida?
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Scorpion

#1759 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:18 pm

Structure is looking great on nighttime vis
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1760 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:18 pm

Looking at this run, again we see a mid-upper level feature off the coast of Florida. I think it might be a cut off upper level low. I wonder if it will put a dent in the ridge?

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_500_lu_loop.shtml
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