CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[CalmBeforeStorm]

00z.. probably Mexico
6z... out to sea
12z...Florida

But these are all long range forecasts which can always vary greatly. Short term the model has been extremely consistant over the last couple days showing Dean going through or getting close to the northern leaward islands.

[PTPatrick]

And what does Joe have to say about this (joe B. NOT Joe mamma).

[flwxwatcher]

Looking at J.B's write up today he is still thinking a Florida hit first. Time will tell:):)

[Aquawind]

Pretty clear Dean moved just south of bouy 41026 earlier today. Winds picked on the backside alright..

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41026

[Tenspeed]

We are all really speculating..and yes ONLY time will tell.

[Wx_Warrior]

When's the next run guys?

[Trader Ron]

My head hurts.

Last night=Recurve
6z=Florida
12z=Middle TX
18z=TX/LA border

Predictions for 0z?

Dang, we have 8-10 more day's of this. 32-40 runs. Help!

[Wx_Warrior]

If correct, which most say things want be the same (praying not), Sabine Pass would take the eye of a storm 2 times in 3 years. WOW.

[Cyclenall]

My bets for 0z are on another Texas/Mexico boarder hit .

[jaxfladude]

Breaking news. Oil futures to soar if this track verifies

[artist]

One of our local weather guys just said that with the new models out, this was much better for us (here in Palm Beach County) because it looked like it would go into the Florida Straits. I just wonder why they say things like that when it's so far out. I remember he was the same one who told us that Francis was not coming our way as well. Just seems a little early to say anything one way or the other in my opinion.

Utterly stupid .Any professional would be saying "too early to tell" right now

As Derek would say, that guy should be shown the red card.

Totally irresponsible.

Unfortunately it happens alot here in Palm Beach county - even the commissioners have had a bad habit of saying it will never happen here until it is literally upon us. Wilma they were a little better though, but I think because of Katrina.

[punkyg]

http://www.tropmet.com/alert_1_satellite.htm

[Blown Away]

If correct, which most say things want be the same (praying not), Sabine Pass would take the eye of a storm 2 times in 3 years. WOW.

Hobe Sound Florida saw 3 eyes in 13 months (Frances, Jeanne, Wilma)

[Sean in New Orleans]

Fish storm...no doubts...I don't care what any silly computer model says. They are rarely right outside of 48 hours with tropics anyway...I've been through these types of wild speculations and threads on this board for years....

[SouthFLTropics]

If correct, which most say things want be the same (praying not), Sabine Pass would take the eye of a storm 2 times in 3 years. WOW.

Hobe Sound Florida saw 3 eyes in 13 months (Frances, Jeanne, Wilma)

Yeah, try that on for size. I was here for all three of them. Frances and Jeanne within 3 weeks of each other. That's enough to fry a few nerves.

SouthFLTropics

[Wx_Warrior]

I meant to add "outside of Florida", I def do not want to take anything away from you guys...That little small area on the Gulf...Florida folks are hung out to dry.

Sean in NOLA...I HOPE you are right...If so, I will send you a care package of your favorite beverages!

[weatherguru18]

Fish storm...no doubts...I don't care what any silly computer model says. They are rarely right outside of 48 hours with tropics anyway...I've been through these types of wild speculations and threads on this board for years....

Wow...that's a very bold statement. Your expecting a tropical storm to break through a strong ridge of high pressure or be swept up in a trough that is to the north. Keep in mind that Dean is far to the south and farther west than expected. I think you better rethink your statement...though your entitled to think whatever you wish.

[wjs3]

Why do I have a feeling I am going to be flamed for what I am about to say?

This satellite presentation is awful. The CDO-like feature from earlier to day is essentially gone, cloud tops seem warm and disorganized, and...well, generally it's a mess. I'm surprised that the ADT number is still above 2 (though weakening admittedly) and would expect the next T# from SAB to drop.


I know recon tells a different story (though we don;t have recon from Dean to tell the whole story), but I think 91L has a much better satellite presentation (and certainly is on much more of a strengthening trend) than Dean.

WJS3

[Sean in New Orleans]

Fish storm...no doubts...I don't care what any silly computer model says. They are rarely right outside of 48 hours with tropics anyway...I've been through these types of wild speculations and threads on this board for years....

Wow...that's a very bold statement. Your expecting a tropical storm to break through a strong ridge of high pressure or be swept up in a trough that is to the north. Keep in mind that Dean is far to the south and farther west than expected. I think you better rethink your statement...though your entitled to think whatever you wish.

I'll rethink it in 5 days. I'm not worried about this storm, at all..

[Scorpion]

No.. it looks better than before and T#'s are up.