

Looking good.
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Janie2006 wrote:THE UPPER TROF ACROSS THE W ATLC HAS BEEN A POTENTIAL INFLUENCE ON
THE TRACK OF DEAN BASED ON RECENT GUIDANCE...WITH VARIOUS RUNS
HINTING AT A WEAKNESS ALONG 70/71W THAT MIGHT HAVE ALLOWED DEAN TO
TURN MORE NW AND ACROSS OR VERY CLOSE TO THE LOCAL AREA.
HOWEVER...WITH DEAN`S CONTINUED RELATIVELY FAST MOTION AND LOW
LATITUDE...IT MAY REMAIN SOUTH OF SIGNIFICANT INFLUENCE OF THIS
POTENTIAL WEAKNESS AND SQUEAK BY THE LOCAL AREA.
I think Dean may very well scoot past the trough without being picked up, which could give it the green light right into the Carribean.
knotimpaired wrote:Thank you for all of your responses.
Yes, we do have challenges that the US do not have and I am worried that our interests, basically our lives do not get set aside. We have families, friends, our lives are in the islands.
I just want to say that all of the Dean threads seem to be pushing the cart before the horse.
Cannot we all gather together here in the basin, ask for expert advice without the armchair mets to know exactly what is going on and where?
Vieques, Salinas, San Juan, Ponce, Isabella, all of Puerto Rico. But let us not forget
Culebra
Us Virgin Islands
British Virgin Islands
St Croix to the south
Angilla
Saba
St Kitts
Nevis
Antigua
Montserrat
Guadeloupe
Dominica
Martinique
St. Lucia
St. Vincent
Off to east Barbados
Grenada
Trinidad and Tobago
I could probably name every cay on each island and I am sure I missed a few. My father was a Geography Professer at one of the major US universities. I knew every inch of the caribbean since I was a child.
I grew to love them before I came to live here but I know for a fact, this is my home and only home matters.
So please let us get back to basics and worry about the horse for now. 8 days out we can worry about the cart.
Please, that is all I ask.
I do not know if you realize when you live on a island a a hurricane strikes, you cannot run away.
It must be nice to have I-95 running in both directions getting you out..
On my island we do not have a traffic light.
How do you think we feel when we depend on a ferry that probably not run for days? That is our food?
Oops forgot, you always have Publix. Sorry.
Derek Ortt wrote:The local TV "mets" (as if they have degrees in meteorology!!) are already starting to say "Dean has his sights on Florida!" Really, they should call it something of interest and emphasizing prepardness rather than being unnecessarily alarmist at this stage. The Mobile NBC affiliate has estimated that Dean is 3015 miles from Pensacola. That sort of thing drives me up the wall.
Use the blog I have at PNJ or refer to the nwhhc site for better info than you'll get from those dumber than Zidane pretend TV mets
Many TV mets don't have degrees, and don't know what they are talking about.weatherguru18 wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:The local TV "mets" (as if they have degrees in meteorology!!) are already starting to say "Dean has his sights on Florida!" Really, they should call it something of interest and emphasizing prepardness rather than being unnecessarily alarmist at this stage. The Mobile NBC affiliate has estimated that Dean is 3015 miles from Pensacola. That sort of thing drives me up the wall.
Use the blog I have at PNJ or refer to the nwhhc site for better info than you'll get from those dumber than Zidane pretend TV mets
I don't know exactly what you mean by this but I'd rethink it. I will have a meteorology degree and I want to be on tv. Do you think that tv mets don't know what they are doing??? It's funny that you sure tune in to hear what they have to say.
The local meteorology here just said that Dean could become a Cat. 5!!! He said one of the models depicted this. By the way, I have not heard any met. say yet that this was headed for the Florida straights.
sevenleft wrote:Many TV mets don't have degrees, and don't know what they are talking about.weatherguru18 wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:The local TV "mets" (as if they have degrees in meteorology!!) are already starting to say "Dean has his sights on Florida!" Really, they should call it something of interest and emphasizing prepardness rather than being unnecessarily alarmist at this stage. The Mobile NBC affiliate has estimated that Dean is 3015 miles from Pensacola. That sort of thing drives me up the wall.
Use the blog I have at PNJ or refer to the nwhhc site for better info than you'll get from those dumber than Zidane pretend TV mets
I don't know exactly what you mean by this but I'd rethink it. I will have a meteorology degree and I want to be on tv. Do you think that tv mets don't know what they are doing??? It's funny that you sure tune in to hear what they have to say.
The local meteorology here just said that Dean could become a Cat. 5!!! He said one of the models depicted this. By the way, I have not heard any met. say yet that this was headed for the Florida straights.
Then, some don't have degrees, but DO know what they are talking about.
A few more have degrees, and DON'T know what they are talking about.
And the rest have degrees, and do know what they are talking about.
sevenleft wrote:Many TV mets don't have degrees, and don't know what they are talking about.
Then, some don't have degrees, but DO know what they are talking about.
A few more have degrees, and DON'T know what they are talking about.
And the rest have degrees, and do know what they are talking about.
punkyg wrote:Guys the weather channel talking about our 3 tropical systems Flossie, Dean and Td5
I say around friday we all will start paying more attention to Dean, because i think Flossie will be gone by then and Td5/Erin makes landfall on the texas coast and Dean might be up to hurricane strength. sunday to monday will tell us where Dean will go.i know yall are wondering
why i mention the weather channel
cause there gonna send Jim cantore, Jeff morrow and Mike sidel to where ever Dean is forcasted to make landfall, because those are the people they always send out. i can't wait to see and listening to Jim cantore whine about something.
linkerweather wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:The local TV "mets" (as if they have degrees in meteorology!!) are already starting to say "Dean has his sights on Florida!" Really, they should call it something of interest and emphasizing prepardness rather than being unnecessarily alarmist at this stage. The Mobile NBC affiliate has estimated that Dean is 3015 miles from Pensacola. That sort of thing drives me up the wall.
Use the blog I have at PNJ or refer to the nwhhc site for better info than you'll get from those dumber than Zidane pretend TV mets
Derek,
I am sorry that you have had a bad experience with some TV mets. I can tell you from experience that often the "alarmist" nature doesn't come from the met himself but from consultants or the newsroom. We have been talking preparedness since May. We try to drive that point that you should be prepared prior to the season even beginning. I have made point after point, to NOT raise the surrender flag for FLorida. As you know, there is WAY too much uncertainty this far out. Truth is, our viewers should be aware that a system is out there, but not worry or even be concerned. I like to think that my viewers trust my judgement and when I mention Florida as a concern, then they should really begin preparations.
Admittedly, for many in my field, it has become an alarmist game, but I would go back to my original point in saying it is usually driven by the non weather folks in the TV news business.
Edited to add: yesterday I mentioned how far it was from Tampa to further the ppoint that we NEED NOT WORRY as it is too far away.
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