CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[OURAGAN]

The system will across the lesser antilles near Dominica

[fci]

As a resident of South Florida I hearby surrender Dean to anyone else who wants him!

My concession in any Fl vs. TX and GOM battle is duly and unconditionally rendered.
He is yours if you want him (and why you would is anyone's guess but who am I to question)

fci (tounge firmly in cheek)!

[windstorm99]

Per the 11am NHC advisory-PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT

Current movment- 285

[Wx_Warrior]

You won the National Championship in both basketball and football so you get the honors!

[Wx_Warrior]

What and when is the next model run?

[skysummit]

Heck..it's already north of the forecast plots. We'll, I guess the 12z GFS is out the window already! LOL

[southerngale]

>>Who says that Dean has not tried to reform its center several times before? By the time a storm starts to "gell" or intensify, it will start moving more poleward, not due west like some of the models are showing, like the GFDL into Central America and GFS into Mexico.

You've been fighting a battle for an east coast storm for the last two days. It might happen. It might not. I have no idea. But every post (I'm not going to copy and paste them all), you keep finding a way to implicate Dean as an east coast system.

Steve

And you don't think that everyone of your posts tries to implicate Dean as a GOM system? Please...
There are several other people on this board who think what I am thinking.

Jeff masters:
"No models call for a threat to the east coast of Florida at present, but that could change once we see how strong Saturday's trough of low pressure really will be."

Since you do live near the GOM, shouldn't you be more focused on TS Erin?

Arrgghhhh. Let the battle begin: GOM vs. Atlantic (GOM currently has homecourt advantage according to the models, but that does not necessarily imply it will win )

You've got to be kidding me. It's a tropical system... not a game.

Btw, implying something is a GOM storm when the official track heads it in that general direction isn't exactly far-fetched. But if you can will it another direction, go for it.


(And yes, I know the forecast track can and will change and yes, I know that it could still go anywhere... nobody knows where it's going!)

[KFDM Meteorologist]

EURO should be coming out

[Extremecane]

Euro is a little north but still runs it into yucatan

[ronjon]

18Z BAMD now at 21.6N-79.9W at 120 hrs which puts it near the south coast of central Cuba. 12Z NOGAPs fairly close to that. Are we seeing a slight northward trend in the models?

[Aquawind]

What the heckk.. Geesh first look at the visable loop since this morning and it's definately moving more northerly at the moment.. Here I just read the discussion about getting a better handle on it..

[Extremeweatherguy]

[tolakram]

I'm looking at the water vapor image ... looks to me like Dean has just started to suck in some very dry air. How can he maintain intensity with so much dry air in front of and above the system?

[DESTRUCTION5]

NHC should remain in place at 500 PM today..

[Bgator]

Can anyone name the storms that are the exception to the HErbert Box?

[Aquawind]

Heck..it's already north of the forecast plots. We'll, I guess the 12z GFS is out the window already! LOL

No kidding.. so much for the strong deep layer ridge. That is not a wobble and clear movement. Dean you goofball..

[SouthFloridawx]

Warmer waters is why he can remain at this intensity, plus... favorable upper level winds.

[pavelbure224]

South Fl news channels are doing hourly updates on Dean

[Sanibel]

How can he maintain intensity with so much dry air in front of and above the system?

This system was strong over Africa. It has a strong nature. It also has a deep draw from the south and increasing SST's in front of it.

[windstorm99]

NHC should remain in place at 500 PM today..

Not for long in my opinion if its moving @ 285. Its already at 13N which was forcasted to be reached by 8am tommorow.