CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
I do feel somewhat safer because many local mets say the
ridge is likely to hold strong and protect florida but watch it just in case.
ridge is likely to hold strong and protect florida but watch it just in case.
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Does anyone else think we will see at 2am : upgraded to hurricane Dean?
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Re: TS Dean: For any Island in the Carib that could be affected
Man guys I've been going over the sat/IR/WV imagery the last 15 minutes and I think we've got a borderline hurricane here. The outflow looks pretty good and the storm appears to be getting more organized.
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Does anyone else think we will see at 2am : upgraded to hurricane Dean?
I would say probably tommorrow.
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- Weatherfreak14
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
East coast and flordia has to take a deep breath tommrow as they fly into this storm i think we will see a difference in the track but im starting to believe that the ridge may hold in.
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- Evil Jeremy
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:I do feel somewhat safer because many local mets say the
ridge is likely to hold strong and protect florida but watch it just in case.
yea, but how often are the local mets right with this kind of system?
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- 'CaneFreak
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Acral wrote:TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Does anyone else think we will see at 2am : upgraded to hurricane Dean?
I would say probably tommorrow.
2 am is tomorrow...

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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I don't normally make bold statements, but with so many
meteorologists saying the same thing I would go bold here.
I'll still watch it but the models show the ridge holding...protecting FL
but very bad news for mexico..my prayers are with them.
Many local meteorologists added the same sentiment, as they
feel Dean will stay south of Florida. They said we should watch it just
in case it does something unexpected, but for right now none of the models
bring it anywhere into FL.
Besides, the ridge is strong. Unless I see a trough I don't
see too much model change.
I don't normally make bold statements, but with so many
meteorologists saying the same thing I would go bold here.
I'll still watch it but the models show the ridge holding...protecting FL
but very bad news for mexico..my prayers are with them.
Many local meteorologists added the same sentiment, as they
feel Dean will stay south of Florida. They said we should watch it just
in case it does something unexpected, but for right now none of the models
bring it anywhere into FL.
Besides, the ridge is strong. Unless I see a trough I don't
see too much model change.
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Wed Aug 15, 2007 9:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- JtSmarts
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models
Brent wrote:marcane_1973 wrote:Lets say Dean is a cat 3 or 4 and crosses over the entire Yucatan Peninsula shouldnt that knock him down a bit before he gets to Mexico or Texas?
Yeah, see Emily, she hit as a 4 and weakened to a 1, but made final landfall as a 3.
There was Wilma which hit as a 4 but recovered nicely to hit FL as a 3, but there was also Isidore which hit as a strong 3 stayed for awhile and never recovered, even over the warm waters of the gulf.
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- HeatherAKC
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Fellow South Floridians...did any of you catch the WSVN guy's "scenerio 2" (Phil Ferro, or something like that??) at 10pm?
Although he's fairly confident in "scenerio 1" (The west runner) he mentioned that Dean could get pulled north by a low and THEN head west. Well, his graphic was pretty much a bulls-eye to south florida. Nothing like a little hype!
Come to think of it, I don't think he's changed his tune since last night and I don't think he's been in South Florida too long either.
Edit: Perhaps "bulls-eye" was the wrong word. The graphic simply placed the storm to our east and he motioned with his hand to the west towards south florida.
Although he's fairly confident in "scenerio 1" (The west runner) he mentioned that Dean could get pulled north by a low and THEN head west. Well, his graphic was pretty much a bulls-eye to south florida. Nothing like a little hype!
Come to think of it, I don't think he's changed his tune since last night and I don't think he's been in South Florida too long either.
Edit: Perhaps "bulls-eye" was the wrong word. The graphic simply placed the storm to our east and he motioned with his hand to the west towards south florida.
Last edited by HeatherAKC on Wed Aug 15, 2007 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
'CaneFreak wrote:Acral wrote:TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:Does anyone else think we will see at 2am : upgraded to hurricane Dean?
I would say probably tommorrow.
2 am is tomorrow...
Good, then I am covered either way. LOL

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
HeatherAKC wrote:Fellow South Floridians...did any of you catch the WSVN guy's "scenerio 2" (Phil Ferro, or something like that??) at 10pm?
Although he's fairly confident in "scenerio 1" (The west runner) he mentioned that Dean could get pulled north by a low and THEN head west. Well, his graphic was pretty much a bulls-eye to south florida. Nothing like a little hype!
Come to think of it, I don't think he's changed his tune since last night and I don't think he's been in South Florida too long either.
Phil (Felipe) Ferro was a weathercaster for Channel 51 for a long time...
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also in my earlier post I was only referring to FL being protected I
can't predict anything about other states along the gulf coast.
Now I could be entirely wrong, but we'll see what happens.
Also in my earlier post I was only referring to FL being protected I
can't predict anything about other states along the gulf coast.
Now I could be entirely wrong, but we'll see what happens.
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- cedwards
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
The models are in surprisingly good agreement on Dean's path. This does not mean that it won't change, but it does appear that it will continue in the general direction of Cozumel, Mexico or south of there.


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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Will someone please explain to me why the models moved the forecasted path of Dean so far South since yesterday? What changed? Why didn't the models see it before today? My questions is if everyone is so sure the storm is going to move west toward the Yucatan, can't that idea change by tomorrow, also?
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- wzrgirl1
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
hial2 wrote:HeatherAKC wrote:Fellow South Floridians...did any of you catch the WSVN guy's "scenerio 2" (Phil Ferro, or something like that??) at 10pm?
Although he's fairly confident in "scenerio 1" (The west runner) he mentioned that Dean could get pulled north by a low and THEN head west. Well, his graphic was pretty much a bulls-eye to south florida. Nothing like a little hype!
Come to think of it, I don't think he's changed his tune since last night and I don't think he's been in South Florida too long either.
Phil (Felipe) Ferro was a weathercaster for Channel 51 for a long time...
there was no bulls eye to south florida with that scenario....he merely stated that the trough could pull dean on a more wnw scenario but it still wouldn't be enough to effect south florida directly
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