CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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ExBailbonds
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#3621 Postby ExBailbonds » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:17 pm

114 hr single frame

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 14_m.shtml

Gotta step away for a few mins wife is calling me
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#3622 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:18 pm

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#3623 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:20 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models

#3624 Postby vaffie » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:21 pm

126 hours. Strengthening. Making landfall north of Belize. Almost exactly the same track as 18Z just a few hours faster.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_126m.gif
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#3625 Postby cedwards » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:21 pm

wxfollower wrote:where do you guys look at all this stuff?

There are a few good links to some data complied here:
http://www.loadedgunchasing.com/TropicalCyclonePage.html
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#3626 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:23 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#3627 Postby Houstonia » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:24 pm

wxfollower wrote:I have an uncle that lives in Brownsville should I alert him?



Hey, you can also tell your uncle that I've applied for a job in Brownsville and hoping to get an interview. Is your uncle important? Does he know the mayor? I'm a nice person!

...oh sorry... back to hurricane stuff...
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models

#3628 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:25 pm

Looks similar to last run... might get far enough for effects in S TX.

Really booking, that's for less than a week from now!
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models

#3629 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:26 pm

Brent wrote:Looks similar to last run... might get far enough for effects in S TX.

Really booking, that's for less than a week from now!


Yep..faster and faster every run
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Re:

#3630 Postby oyster_reef » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:27 pm



notice the system approching the windwads too! saying 35 kts... probable named storm
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models

#3631 Postby weatherguru18 » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:27 pm

Hmmm, starting to rethink a SE TX landfall. I have no reason to disagree with the models.

Go figure, I have alerted everybody I know to think about buying batteries and water in the coming days in preperation for a possible serious hurricane.
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#3632 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:27 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Global Models

#3633 Postby vaffie » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:28 pm

At 138 hours, it is at the same position it was at 156 hours in the 18z model.
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#3634 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:29 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#3635 Postby wxfollower » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:32 pm

well, I know he was the medical director for the brownsville hospital, so I suppose he knows the mayor...Dunno, give me your name, and I will let him know... 8-)
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#3636 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:33 pm

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#3637 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:34 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#3638 Postby vaffie » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:35 pm

The 0Z model appears to be more in line with the speed that the NHC estimated at it's 11 pm advisory--basically 12 hours faster than the 18Z model.
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Re: Tropical Storm DEAN: Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#3639 Postby weatherguru18 » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:35 pm

With the latest model runs now, I'm sort of rethinking a SE TX landfall. I have no reason to disagree with the models at this time.

Go figure that as soon as I warn everybody I know to be buying batteries and water, the models send it WAY south. :roll:
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#3640 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:36 pm

looks like there is some kind of weakness there near TX and in the south-central states in general. I wouldn't be surprised if in future runs a turn north is predicted at some point in the GOM.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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