CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Innotech]

wow. what a time for me to start posting again.

Living in south central Louisiana, I definitely have an eye out for this and Im very worried about how optimal the conditions are with not much to weaken or impede the storm. I have to say though, it really is a very beautiful storm with great outflow in all directions. you cant help but be humbled by this. This is mother Natures most powerful force.

[Stormcenter]

This situation is not looking good for anybody right now.We are looking at a Cat 4 or Cat 5 going into the Gulf this will hurt the USA in the pocket with oil price!!!!We might see gas prices in the $7-9 per gallon after this is over.

More like $4 to $5 a gallon. I better trade in that Hummer I just bought.

[cflweather]

What is the CPL5 Model? Never heard of it

[KFDM Meteorologist]

EURO still has Mexico

[PTrackerLA]

Here's EURO

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMW ... floop.html

Looks like due west all the way, hmm.

[mgpetre]

Here's EURO

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMW ... floop.html

So the Euro has that Atlantic Low riding the High across Florida and helping keep dean in Mexico... Is this a fairly realistic possibility?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Oz GFS and EURO later tonight will be interesting since plane is out there.

[windstorm99]

Everyones thoughts would be great on the discussion i posted on the other thread.

[Steve]

Euro still due west and far south. Just like the GFS has a known bias of putting troughs in the western Atlantic where there will be no troughs, the Euro often has a southern bias with tropical systems. I'm not saying this due to any statecasting. It's cost me a few times on calls where I thought it was right. Don't see the movement based on the east coast synoptics and Sepat.

We shall see.

Steve

[tracyswfla]

This is going to be horrifying to watch.
My prayers are with everyone who may be impacted by the storm.

I mean, this is just horrible.
Not trying to overhype, but that is just the truth.
We've got a very bad situation....

I agree. It's very very bad.

I still say it's way too early to call. IMO

To early to tell that some of the Islands are going to get hammered? That is what I am talking about.

[PTrackerLA]

KFDM, do you think the GFDL is on to something?

[Sanibel]

Ignore CPL5 model. It's a wack model that always takes the storm in a crazy direction that never verifies...

[EyELeSs1]

well just got off my roof...cleaned up the anemometer and rain guages etc.

i'm amazed @ how windy it is already. The sea is becoming really choppy now and the wind is gusting constantly 25-30mph from the North. I saw a drop from recon @ 21N 61W which is north of antigua and confirmed 20knt winds around this area. I wonder if we will indeed get tropical storm force winds??

On another note; the southern islands like Dominica were completely lost with this hurricane. I spoke to my aunt this morning and her exact words were "It's going to Bermuda". I was so shocked... they had no clue it was aiming directly for them. I pray for the poeple in the southern islands and hope they have adequate time for preparations

[mgpetre]

Everyones thoughts would be great on the discussion i posted on the other thread.

Well the Euro definately tends differently than that discussion. I am leaning towards believing the gfdl for now though if any.

[wxmann_91]

What is the CPL5 Model? Never heard of it

climatology model. ignore it.

[BUD]

This situation is not looking good for anybody right now.We are looking at a Cat 4 or Cat 5 going into the Gulf this will hurt the USA in the pocket with oil price!!!!We might see gas prices in the $7-9 per gallon after this is over.

More like $4 to $5 a gallon. I better trade in that Hummer I just bought.

After Kartina there were prices in the $6 range!!!!!Check Snopes.com

[EyELeSs1]

hmmm i wonder why theres such a delay in data?

[hial2]

wow. what a time for me to start posting again.

This is mother Natures most powerful force.

I'll take 10 hurricanes rather than 1 semi powerful earthquake....

[HUC]

Feeder band progressing

http://www.meteo.gp/pro/donnees/radar/m ... 00_ppz.gif

[MGC]

Well, once we get the gulfstream data into the models we should have a much better idea of Dean's future track. Like last night, I'm still very conserned with the ULL over the Bahamas. This ULL could be the fly in the ointment.....MGC