CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Aric Dunn]

Hiya Sanibel! Hope you are right!! Here's what I was looking at that caused me concern about FDF: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ft.html
Check out this loop - and click to activate the position plots and then zoom in. You'll see it looks like center of storm due to cross over next plotted position dead-on. (Those forecasters are truly amazing) Draw a line from that position to the next one, and it crosses right over bay/harbor on the west coast where Fort de France is located.

where are you located at?

[HouTXmetro]

Wow the UKMET is way right of the previous track...

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tro ... wtnt80.txt

Looks like NOGAPS is the only significant southerly hold out between the big 4. Look for a slight northward adjustment by the NHC in the next package...

MW

UKMET makes landfall just north of Matagorda Bay. Wow, I think, we're getting a consensus now!

The only Consensus I see is Dean might be a Texas issue possible LA. The Question is where on the TX coast, it's huge and makes a big difference if a major comes in at Brownsville or anywhere North of Corpus.

[Evil Jeremy]

UKMET, GFDL, and NOGAPS are all now missing the Yuctuan Peninsula.

*sigh* and I was actually hoping for some sleep tonight lol.

[Aric Dunn]

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...FRENCH RADAR DATA FROM MARTINIQUE HELPED
LOCATE THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
MARTINIQUE AND ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
BARBADOS.

[bvigal]

Aric, I'm in BVI. Are you in Dominica or Martinique? Please stay safe!

[Aric Dunn]

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...FRENCH RADAR DATA FROM MARTINIQUE HELPED
LOCATE THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
MARTINIQUE AND ABOUT 90 MILES...140 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
BARBADOS.


who ever is in Martinique its time to go to your safe place..
the center will just pass either to your south or may wabble over you.. either way hurricane force winds will be approaching you in the next hour..

[Aric Dunn]

Aric, I'm in BVI. Are you in Dominica or Martinique? Please stay safe!

no im in Florida.. oh ok you safe up there...

[Brent]

When is the eclipse over?

[Aric Dunn]

When is the eclipse over?

we should get and image in the next 20 minutes..

the conus images are coming in..

[HUC]

condiyions worseen in Martinica,trees falling,radios out,and the worst is coming...Here in Guadeloupe,winds pick up since 1 hour,with gusts to 35 kts in my location,and 50kts in La Désirada.

[lamsalfl]

watch the eclipse be over and we have a cat 3 on our hands. It's happened before that it comes out the eclipse much stronger. SURPRISE!

[Aric Dunn]

condiyions worseen in Martinica,trees falling,radios out,and the worst is coming...Here in Guadeloupe,winds pick up since 1 hour,with gusts to 35 kts in my location,and 50kts in La Désirada.

those are reports from Martinique?

[southerngale]

Saying prayers for you guys in the path...

[MississippiHurricane]

Please stay safe and dont give us updates if its not safe to do so either....life comes FIRST!

[Aric Dunn]

the worst winds are going to start coming into Barbados here as they get to the SE side of the hurricane ..

so stay alert

[HouTXmetro]

SHould Dean come knocking anywhere near Houston we may have to deal with severe flooding on top of the wind. There is a 90%, 70% 50% and 30% chance of rain over the next four days respectively. The Ground will be completely saturated all along the TX coast.

[bvigal]

Yes, safe here, just worried about those further down island. And have very fond memories of Martinique, was there twice, have been to nearly all the islands east/south of here.

I better post a pick, because that sat view will change and be gone. It may matter to someone to see what it looked like.


Getting occasional gust up here on the hill, and St. Thomas airport at 2am recording gust 20kt, St. Croix 19kt, Antigua 26kt. I imagine it will be quite blustery in St. Croix later today.

[Duddy]

Guys, that UK model is seriously about to make me go into a nervous breakdown.

Should I worry? Seriously?

[Stratosphere747]

Lets be patient. Remember just two years ago, a cat 5 was IN the GULF bearing down on the Middle Texas coast. Now we are focusing on a hurricane that has yet to even ENTER the Caribbean. No need to panic or worry those around us. Should some concern begin to arise? No doubt......

[HUC]

The reports are from local radios,and news from my relatives in Martinica