Brent wrote:Just heard a death has been confirmed in St. Lucia
Source?
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Brent wrote:Just heard a death has been confirmed in St. Lucia
CrazyC83 wrote:The pressure should quickly come down to catch up to the winds. 110 kt usually has a pressure around 948mb.
bkdelong wrote:Brent wrote:Just heard a death has been confirmed in St. Lucia
Source?
me wrote:The NW Quad is the most powerful, and they haven't sampled the winds there yet. But convection is pretty weak; cloud tops are pretty warm. Thus I believe the standard reduction doesn't apply here... I'd say borderline 2/3 right now.
weunice wrote:I thought the most powerful quadrant was determined by the direction it was traveling. For example a storm moving due west it would be the quadrant on the northern side towards the front (NW). If the storm was heading north then on the east side towards the front (NE) .... Corrections gurus?digitaldahling wrote:Sabanic wrote:
Not to be argumentive in any way, but I have to completely disagree with that. We have been on the east side of Frederic & Elana, and on the west of Ivan & Dennis, and the NE side is worst by far.
So true. Put me on the west side any day.
Well...Dean is not going to recurve...so the further north it gets now...the better chance it has at making a US landfall.hial2 wrote:There is a small weakness in the atmosphere right over Jamaica...clearly marked on the NCEP points..Let's hope this will make the storm veer..
Stormcenter wrote:Maybe it's time to discount the GFDL for the moment especially with all of the
other models trending much further south then it. I could see if the other models
continued the northward trend but that is not the case here. Unless Of course the
GFDL is on the money 5 days out. I just have hard time buying into that because it
keeps on shifting north and east with every run.
HouTXmetro wrote:Ok, thats another model aiming towards TX/MX border.
Here's a loop of the HWRF: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtmlHouTXmetro wrote:Ok, thats another model aiming towards TX/MX border.
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