CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Innotech]

so does anyone think Louisiana might be out of the woods on this one?
How strong exactly IS that high over the US?

[LJR]

I have found an easy to read map from the Carribean hurricane network..

http://stormcarib.com/reports/current/jamaica.shtml
I tried to get the image to show but couldn't.

[Pearl River]

http://wwl.com/pages/824854.php?contentType=4&contentId=811588

From WWL radio.

Blanco declares State of Emergency.

[weatherguru18]

I cannot find confirmation of Texas issueing a state of emergency. Can anybody verify?!?!

[mf_dolphin]

No we're not. I'll get them merged back together.

[Innotech]

Louisiana has issued a STATE OF EMERGENCY!

so did Texas, it doesn't really mean anything more than they learned a lesson since katrina. Need those funds available if needed.

I need verification please...this info is being passed on!

I can verify it. I got a few calls from my mother and friends saying the news reported Louisiana under an SOE

http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/story?id=3494971

[jaxfladude]

Jamaica is in big trouble:

FLASH: Could be unprecedented event for Jamaica; direct hit with 150 MPH sustained winds [topping Hurricane Gilbert's 135 MPH winds [Sept. 1988] and Charlie's 100 MPH winds in 1951]... Population of Jamaica is nearly 3 million people; and is 49th most densely-populated country in world...

A quick lesson refresher: Are most of the populated areas in the danger zone from Dean. ie the southern part of that Island......I know that most of the resorts are on the Northern part....please correct me if needed....

[Innotech]

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=Hu ... gle+Search

and lots of links verifying Texas

[weatherguru18]

Come on guys...work with me. Did Texas issue a state of emergency? I can't find it anywhere.

[tropicsPR]

WTNT64 KNHC 180135
TCUAT4
HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
930 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007


DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[JTD]

Jamaica is in big trouble:

FLASH: Could be unprecedented event for Jamaica; direct hit with 150 MPH sustained winds [topping Hurricane Gilbert's 135 MPH winds [Sept. 1988] and Charlie's 100 MPH winds in 1951]... Population of Jamaica is nearly 3 million people; and is 49th most densely-populated country in world...

A quick lesson refresher: Are most of the populated areas in the danger zone from Dean. ie the southern part of that Island......I know that most of the resorts are on the Northern part....please correct me if needed....

Good question! I'll google it. With all the focus on possible US impact, I totally forgot about Jamaica. Also important to note that even with Ivan skirting south of Jamaica in 2004, hundreds still died and it was a catastrophe.

[JTD]

Come on guys...work with me. Did Texas issue a state of emergency? I can't find it anywhere.

LA has. Have not heard any thing about TX. Where are you seeing this?

[Innotech]

Jamaica is in big trouble:

FLASH: Could be unprecedented event for Jamaica; direct hit with 150 MPH sustained winds [topping Hurricane Gilbert's 135 MPH winds [Sept. 1988] and Charlie's 100 MPH winds in 1951]... Population of Jamaica is nearly 3 million people; and is 49th most densely-populated country in world...

A quick lesson refresher: Are most of the populated areas in the danger zone from Dean. ie the southern part of that Island......I know that most of the resorts are on the Northern part....please correct me if needed....

Kingston is in the southeast, almost on the coastal tip of the island

[HollynLA]

Come on guys...work with me. Did Texas issue a state of emergency? I can't find it anywhere.

http://www.ktre.com/Global/story.asp?S=6948379&nav=2FH5

[KBBOCA]

Given the very dangerous situation that's developing for Jamaica and the Caymans, I thought it might be time to dust off the hurricane prayer liturgy I've posted on this site before. I found this on a Lutheran website a few years ago. It's a "responsive" prayer with a leader praying out the first line (L) and the "congregation" (C) praying out the following line. Could be used in family devotions, or of course modified for private use.

L: Lord, have mercy.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: Christ, have mercy.
C: Christ, have mercy.

L: Lord, have mercy.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: In the face of peril and apprehension, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: In the face of mighty winds, thunderous sounds, strong rains, and surging waves, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: In the face of complete uncertainty, as well as concern for our loved ones, here or elsewhere, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: In the face of our own vulnerable mortality, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: For the strength that God alone can give us, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: For all that it takes to keep our children calm and safe, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: For faith that can move mountains and remove all fear, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: For trust in God’s loving presence in our midst, even at this very hour, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: For trust that in life and in death, God will not abandon us, let us pray to the Lord.
C: Lord, have mercy.

L: Almighty God, we poor creatures place our lives into your hands that you might protect and guide us according to your will; Lord, in your mercy,

C: Hear, our prayer.

L: Do not hold our sins against us, but remember us in our faith and love for you; Lord, in your mercy,
C: Hear, our prayer.

L: Be our light in the darkness, our hope in the storm, our peace in the chaos, our trust in the unknown; Lord, in your mercy,
C: Hear, our prayer.

L: Mighty are your works, O Lord, and mighty is your saving hand. Turn your ear to our petitions and supplications; Lord, in your mercy,

C: Hear, our prayer.

L: God of heaven and earth, God who carries our lives and the lives of our whole community in your hands, be with is in the peril of this day/night. Help us to release our anxieties and fears into those same caring hands, knowing in faith that your will for us is life and everlasting good. Send your holy angels to watch over us and guard us. May they spread their holy wings to give us shelter against the storm. For you alone, O God, are all good, all life, all love, and that love is for us; through Jesus Christ our Lord.

C: Amen


I also remember finding another really excellent prayer... will see if I can find it and will post it later.

[Innotech]

Come on guys...work with me. Did Texas issue a state of emergency? I can't find it anywhere.

yes. I sent a google link to research it. Texas has already bregun getting funds and troops in preparation for an emergency. They called Dean an imminent threat.

[CrazyC83]

316
URNT15 KNHC 180150
AF302 0504A DEAN HDOB 24 20070818
014030 1350N 06630W 6969 03146 0062 +078 +078 325030 031 031 003 00
014100 1348N 06632W 6967 03151 0063 +079 +066 328030 031 031 000 00
014130 1347N 06633W 6968 03150 0066 +078 +062 333030 031 029 000 00
014200 1346N 06634W 6965 03153 0064 +081 +061 335032 032 029 000 00
014230 1345N 06636W 6970 03148 0062 +084 +068 330029 030 030 000 00
014300 1343N 06637W 6963 03161 0066 +081 +068 331029 030 032 003 00
014330 1342N 06638W 6968 03151 0065 +082 +072 332032 033 030 001 00
014400 1341N 06640W 6964 03158 0062 +087 +061 331032 032 031 000 00
014430 1340N 06641W 6965 03160 0061 +089 +052 331031 031 030 000 00
014500 1338N 06643W 6969 03153 0063 +090 +051 329030 031 029 000 00
014530 1337N 06644W 6966 03162 0062 +091 +045 330029 030 029 000 00
014600 1336N 06645W 6965 03165 0066 +090 +043 326026 027 029 000 00
014630 1334N 06647W 6965 03163 0064 +093 +041 328027 028 029 000 00
014700 1333N 06648W 6969 03157 0064 +095 +041 330028 029 029 000 00
014730 1332N 06649W 6967 03174 0071 +093 +046 331026 028 026 000 03
014800 1330N 06649W 6965 03171 0077 +090 +057 321025 026 999 999 03
014830 1330N 06647W 6962 03171 0070 +090 +054 314023 024 026 000 03
014900 1330N 06645W 6971 03159 0064 +094 +057 311021 022 026 000 03
014930 1330N 06643W 6963 03169 0069 +089 +060 307021 022 029 000 03
015000 1330N 06641W 6970 03161 0066 +091 +057 307022 023 027 000 00
$$

[Cape Verde]

Here's trusting that models are always wrong. I'm directly in the path of those of those 170 kt winds on that model run, and I don't think my house is built THAT sturdy.

[jaxfladude]

Come on guys...work with me. Did Texas issue a state of emergency? I can't find it anywhere.

LA has. Have not heard any thing about TX. Where are you seeing this?

I get the feeling as of now most of the Eastern to the Coastal Counties of Texas are preparing for the official state of emergency....

[HeeBGBz]

Do we have any model runs coming out soon? I need some fresh speculation.