CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[wxmann_91]

For pete's sake, please do not use the Mexican radar site OR any site that hotlinks the Mexican radar image... it is DOWN already.

Instead, use this:
http://einstein.atmos.colostate.edu/~mc ... 0Aug07.gif

Don't crash it!

[marcane_1973]

http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/7938/g ... iqukn7.jpg WOW!!! My new wallpaper

[CrazyC83]

I'd say it is creeping down and is 908mb right now.

[txwatcher91]

In my opinion looking at the latest visible satellite Dean does not look like a Cat5. Dean looks like a 145-150 very strong good looking Cat4. I honestly think Dean looked better before he reached Jamaica when he peaked at 918(I think it was???)with alot better looking eye. Ever since that point he has been having trouble getting his eyewall back to where it was and has never looked as good in my opinion. Dean has had a concentric eyewall for a long time. If he has had only one eyewall present in those times it didn't last long and when he did it never cleared out and looked spectacular like most of the majors that we have seen in the last 5 years. I just don't think Mr. Dean is cut out to be a 5. He just wishes he was his cousins Katrina and Rita.

HE could be now.

[Nate-Gillson]

I wouldn't be surprised to see sustained winds of 180+ mph. YIKES!!

[CrazyC83]

324
URNT15 KNHC 210355
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 05 20070821
034500 2725N 08815W 4095 07495 0478 -149 -265 150020 021 023 000 00
034530 2722N 08814W 4099 07490 0478 -145 -268 152020 020 022 000 00
034600 2720N 08814W 4098 07483 0476 -149 -230 150021 022 020 000 00
034630 2717N 08813W 4100 07483 0477 -150 -229 147021 021 021 000 00
034700 2715N 08812W 4099 07491 0476 -150 -235 145021 021 022 000 00
034730 2713N 08812W 4098 07490 0477 -150 -229 145021 021 021 000 00
034800 2710N 08811W 4100 07481 0477 -150 -231 148020 021 024 000 00
034830 2708N 08810W 4098 07489 0478 -149 -245 150021 021 023 000 00
034900 2705N 08809W 4099 07486 0477 -145 -247 151020 021 023 000 00
034930 2703N 08809W 4098 07491 0476 -145 -233 155020 021 022 000 00
035000 2700N 08808W 4098 07489 0475 -144 -243 158019 020 023 000 00
035030 2658N 08807W 4099 07487 0475 -140 -361 160019 020 023 000 00
035100 2656N 08806W 4099 07485 0476 -143 -331 152020 020 022 000 00
035130 2653N 08806W 4099 07485 0474 -145 -334 151019 019 022 000 00
035200 2651N 08805W 4099 07490 0476 -145 -325 154020 020 021 000 00
035230 2648N 08804W 4099 07483 0475 -145 -258 155019 020 021 000 00
035300 2646N 08804W 4098 07483 0475 -145 -245 152019 020 023 000 00
035330 2644N 08803W 4098 07487 0475 -145 -231 150020 020 022 000 00
035400 2641N 08802W 4098 07482 0475 -145 -214 150021 021 021 000 00
035430 2639N 08801W 4099 07485 0475 -145 -227 148021 021 021 000 00
$$

[aguaviva]

Pictures in Yahoo from Jamaica coming in. Heart wrenching. The poor just got poorer in Kingston.

[miamicanes177]

my prediction: 897mb 180mph....max FL winds of 174kts

[Normandy]

Cloudtops STILL cooling, eye still warming....this is absurd!

[Sanibel]

I get conspiracy theory thoughts when they 'miss' the dropsonde reading. In any case, Dean ate the dropsonde. The presentation says it is strengthening prior to landfall at 160 minimum. What is the flight level windspeed?

[jaxfladude]

As of the 11pm NHC Public Advisory #32: Dean is now tied at number 10 for lowest pressure in the Atlantic Basin...if the Recon dropsonde reading holds and is made official after being calibrated........

[CrazyC83]

This could be Mexico's Katrina...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Here is my thinking for the recon to find...

171-175 knot flight level which is around 175-180 mph winds. Yes the .9 reduce because the cold cloud tops. Pressure close to 900 millibars. Lets see how close I'm.

[marcane_1973]

In my opinion looking at the latest visible satellite Dean does not look like a Cat5. Dean looks like a 145-150 very strong good looking Cat4. I honestly think Dean looked better before he reached Jamaica when he peaked at 918(I think it was???)with alot better looking eye. Ever since that point he has been having trouble getting his eyewall back to where it was and has never looked as good in my opinion. Dean has had a concentric eyewall for a long time. If he has had only one eyewall present in those times it didn't last long and when he did it never cleared out and looked spectacular like most of the majors that we have seen in the last 5 years. I just don't think Mr. Dean is cut out to be a 5. He just wishes he was his cousins Katrina and Rita.

HE could be now.

Yeah great!!! I think i just jinxed the hell out of everyone. His eye looks the best it has since he became a major cane. Could be one eyewall now with sustained winds of 170 or more. Staying up for recon because that will be VERY INTERESTING.

[baitism]

Luckily for them its not hitting a place like cancun....

[MiamiensisWx]

192
URNT15 KNHC 210404
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 06 20070821
035500 2636N 08801W 4098 07494 0476 -144 -242 148021 022 021 000 00
035530 2634N 08800W 4099 07481 0475 -142 -244 147020 021 021 000 00
035600 2631N 08759W 4099 07487 0474 -140 -252 144019 020 021 000 00
035630 2629N 08759W 4099 07482 0475 -140 -260 142018 018 021 000 00
035700 2627N 08758W 4099 07485 0475 -140 -278 140018 018 020 000 00
035730 2624N 08757W 4099 07487 0474 -140 -291 143019 019 019 000 00
035800 2622N 08756W 4099 07485 0475 -140 -289 149019 019 018 000 00
035830 2619N 08756W 4099 07485 0476 -140 -245 151018 019 017 000 00
035900 2617N 08755W 4098 07492 0476 -140 -234 150019 019 018 000 00
035930 2615N 08754W 4100 07485 0475 -140 -229 151019 019 019 000 00
040000 2612N 08754W 4099 07480 0475 -140 -228 151018 019 019 000 00
040030 2610N 08753W 4099 07488 0474 -140 -233 150018 018 018 000 00
040100 2607N 08752W 4098 07487 0473 -140 -247 149018 019 013 001 00
040130 2605N 08751W 4098 07482 0473 -140 -330 142021 022 012 001 00
040200 2602N 08751W 4099 07481 0472 -140 -347 139022 022 013 000 00
040230 2600N 08750W 4098 07483 0473 -140 -360 140023 023 011 001 00
040300 2558N 08749W 4099 07482 0474 -140 -382 140023 023 011 000 00
040330 2555N 08749W 4099 07481 0473 -140 -390 139024 024 014 000 00
040400 2553N 08748W 4099 07478 0471 -141 -390 138024 025 013 000 00
040430 2550N 08747W 4099 07481 0470 -143 -365 137025 026 013 000 00
$$

[marcane_1973]

What time are we looking at Recon getting near that massive eyewall?

[sponger]

Wow! Our first hurricane and it reaches a five! I wonder what the rest of this season has in store?

[wxmann_91]

This is most likely NOT under 905 mb. I'd say ~910. But guessing pressures is like throwing darts on a board. With skill, you can come close, but otherwise, it's just for kicks.

[Sean in New Orleans]

http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/7938/goes0325200723322jiqukn7.jpg WOW!!! My new wallpaper

Impressive...an extremely powerful hurricane that is really about to blast the Yucatan. I certainly hope they are ready for something they haven't seen in a long, long time....