CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[kurtpage]

wow....check out the GFDL model

[Hockey007]

It's a bit out there.... a cat 5 with a 950 mb center... and staying as a ts through the entire Mexico... It may be underestimating the mountains, and considering how the GFDL messed up Dean earlier, I'm not going to trust it for this forecast lol.

[kurtpage]

I thought it was funny as well....


Has a storm even gone through Mexico and re-emerged as a hurricane??

[Hockey007]

Not over those mountain ranges no, I think a few went through the thin piece of land south of the yucatan.

[RL3AO]

The GDFL has officially lost it. LOL

[Cyclone1]

The GFDL has the most interesting model run of the year! That's crazy!

[Tom8]

The GFDL has the most interesting model run of the year! That's crazy!

that is not completly crazy if you look to this loop
http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat ... op-12.html

and not only GFDL but GFS and NOGAPS type near the same

in this moment it looks that it will go to the W not to the NW

[Sanibel]

Eye showing signs of getting busy again.

[jhamps10]

Not to meantion it intensifyes it to cat 3 in the Baja sea or whatever that's called. Can someone refer GFDL to a mental instutition, I think it has gone nuts.

[Cyclone1]

I actually think this scenario is plausible. Maybe not the strength, but definitely the track.

[PhillyWX]

wow....check out the GFDL model

It's a bit out there.... a cat 5 with a 950 mb center... and staying as a ts through the entire Mexico... It may be underestimating the mountains, and considering how the GFDL messed up Dean earlier, I'm not going to trust it for this forecast lol.

The GFDL run at FSU only has it up to 147 mph.

I THINK that the wind speed on the Weatherunderground version of that is at 35 m, (950 mb), which requires a 90% equation factored in to account for surface winds. Not 100% certain of that though.

[wxmann_91]

quoting Oliver Twist--

If that verifies, I will eat my head!

[RevDodd]

quoting Oliver Twist--

If that verifies, I will eat my head!

Out of curiosity, when was the last time a Cat 1-2 'Cane hit Arizona?

[tolakram]

[RL3AO]

quoting Oliver Twist--

If that verifies, I will eat my head!

Out of curiosity, when was the last time a Cat 1-2 'Cane hit Arizona?

Starts with a "n", ends in a "r" and has the word "eve" in the middle.

[NC George]

Baja sea

It's called the Gulf of California.

[JonathanBelles]

Were any pics taken from Endeavour as it came in of Dean?

[wxmann_91]

Such an event progged by the GFDL will never happen.

1. the mountains of Old Mexico will eat up the LLC
2. dry air from the desert will get entrained into a storm's center if one ever is able to "thread the needle" thru the Sea of Cortez... making a hurricane landfall at the head of the Sea of Cortez (in Mexico, not in AZ), impossible.

[Tom8]

Is moving now more how UKMET is showing this ( white line )

[Derek Ortt]

the core seems more broad and spread out now. Besides the quick increase as the storm moves from the land to the water, I am not sure how much this will intensify. May run out of time before the core can reform and have real intensification