Area of convection (Former 92L)

[Jinkers]

Just had a light shower today, that's about it-lol

[cpdaman]

about 3 hours ago a rotation with convection tried to get going but it then fell apart not sure if it was just shear or something else but that just shows conditions are not favorable enough for development (yet)

i got about 3/10 of an inch of rain today and the beach i was at got a good bit more (delray) and there will be more rain tomorrow and then the weekend should be rainy. can't wait for heat indexes to fall below 100 ( i don't know how you guys in the gainsville area can deal with the heat) at least the water keeps the coast in the low 90's.

it has slowed down so let's see what happens in the morning.

[boca]

Whenever we get a tropical wave they never seem to produce any widespread rains just a spinkle here and there. Very dissapointing.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEAN...CENTERED INLAND OVER MEXICO ABOUT 95
MILES NORTHWEST OF MEXICO CITY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE NEARING FLORIDA HAS
DIMINISHED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Avila says bye!!!

[windstorm99]

92L went almost 2 days ago....

[wxman57]

Ok, I'll say it:

It's dead, Jim!

[Tropics Guy]

Looks like the former 92L is flaring up again NE of Grand Bahama Island tonite, hopefully Florida will see some rain out of this.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

TG

[Ptarmigan]

I heard on the local news, what was 92L might give Texas some rain.

[drezee]

Bahamas are showing SW winds. Visibles are showing a Low level circulation that is really sheared.


http://www.wunderground.com/global/BS.html

[HURAKAN]

Any forseeable decrease in shear in the near future?

[HURAKAN]

TWD 805:

TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 29N76W ACROSS THE N BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N79W TO JUST OFF PANAMA NEAR 10N80W MOVING W 15-20 KT. VERY
BROAD HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH A WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V
CURVATURE AND A SMALL LOW LEVEL ROTATION NEAR THE BAHAMA ISLANDS
IN THE W ATLC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 19N76W TO 15N82W INCLUDING
JAMAICA.

[Sjones]

TWD 805:

TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 29N76W ACROSS THE N BAHAMAS AND CUBA NEAR
22N79W TO JUST OFF PANAMA NEAR 10N80W MOVING W 15-20 KT. VERY
BROAD HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH A WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V
CURVATURE AND A SMALL LOW LEVEL ROTATION NEAR THE BAHAMA ISLANDS
IN THE W ATLC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 90/120 NM OF LINE FROM 19N76W TO 15N82W INCLUDING
JAMAICA.

Do I smell somethin' cookin'?

[HURAKAN]

The CIMSS shear map show that the windshear over the system is not very strong, but it's the WV images that tell the story.


Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/sloop-wv.html

If put in motion there seems to be two ULL. One next to SE Florida and one over Cuba, or maybe it's an UL trough. This seems to be what is not allowing post-92L to develop.

[boca]

Still a good little rotation just NE off of Great Abaco.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

[HURAKAN]

Still a good little rotation just NE off of Great Abaco.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

It looks great but devoid of convection. It looks to be almost stationary.

[boca]

Actually their is convection 50 miles east of Melbourne on the NW corner of the circulation.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

[Emmett_Brown]

Shear seems to be lessening. If the moisture plume seen on WV to the SE can catch up with it, then who knows, maybe some convection can fire. You are right, doesnt seem to be moving.

[Emmett_Brown]

Shear seems to be lessening. If the moisture plume seen on WV to the SE can catch up with it, then who knows, maybe some convection can fire. You are right, doesnt seem to be moving.

Ok, nothing for me to get overly excited about, but look at this vapor loop... seems that a moist plume and ridging are moving up from the S, and should be over our delicate LLC soon. Maybe something....? Definitely better looking upper level conditions compared to the last few days.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-wv.html

[lrak]

Shear seems to be lessening. If the moisture plume seen on WV to the SE can catch up with it, then who knows, maybe some convection can fire. You are right, doesnt seem to be moving.

Ok, nothing for me to get overly excited about, but look at this vapor loop... seems that a moist plume and ridging are moving up from the S, and should be over our delicate LLC soon. Maybe something....? Definitely better looking upper level conditions compared to the last few days.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-wv.html

[HURAKAN]

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