Area of convection (Former 92L)

[cpdaman]

by the way good slow moving thunderstorm over NE part of LAKE "O"

as well as at my parents house in parkland 1.5 inches and coming down in buckets/w lightning

lets see if anything else can develop

[artist]

It appears to me it has decided it wants that moisture that is down south of it. If you look at visible it is beginning to take on a curve signature as well. It seems to be fairly stationary as well. It did this earlier today and looked even better than now, it is less than earlier but is once again beginning to to look a little better. Did that make sense?
It probably doesn't have much of a chance but if it does gather all that moisture around it, who knows? Maybe at least a good chance of some more rain for south and possibly central Florida.

[cpdaman]

i think it may be afraid to develop

it has been stalled or drifting for two days and now as moisture floats over it, it makes a move for land

[vaffie]

That's funny. The title of this thread is "Area of Convection". A bit ironic, no? I think it should be changed to:
"The Swirl That Might Have Been".

[HeeBGBz]

That's funny. The title of this thread is "Area of Convection". A bit ironic, no? I think it should be changed to:
"The Swirl That Might Have Been".

Pretty soon it will be "Random tropical breeziness with a sluggish lean to the west". Soon to evaporate under the burning stares of the bored and the stormless.

[Cyclone1]

That's funny. The title of this thread is "Area of Convection". A bit ironic, no? I think it should be changed to:
"The Swirl That Might Have Been".

Pretty soon it will be "Random tropical breeziness with a sluggish lean to the west". Soon to evaporate under the burning stares of the bored and the stormless.

That is the name of the new Storm2k soap opera!

"The Bored and the Stormless" This week, what will Cyclone1 do when he finds out the TCFA has been... cancelled. Brent finds out his real birth mother is none other than southerngale, but is Opalstorm his real father? Coredesat finds out that ... Okay, this is getting too weird. I'm gonna stop now.

[Sambucol]

That is the name of the new Storm2k soap opera!

"The Bored and the Stormless" This week, what will Cyclone1 do when he finds out the TCFA has been... cancelled. Brent finds out his real birth mother is none other than southerngale, but is Opalstorm his real father? Coredesat finds out that ... Okay, this is getting too weird. I'm gonna stop now.

"As the Swirl Turns": S2K soap for the next tropical system development

[hial2]

That is the name of the new Storm2k soap opera!

"The Bored and the Stormless" This week, what will Cyclone1 do when he finds out the TCFA has been... cancelled. Brent finds out his real birth mother is none other than southerngale, but is Opalstorm his real father? Coredesat finds out that ... Okay, this is getting too weird. I'm gonna stop now.

"As the Swirl Turns": S2K soap for the next tropical system development

92l?// How about "Gone with the wind"?

OK,I'll stop now...

[Jinkers]

i think it may be afraid to develop

it has been stalled or drifting for two days and now as moisture floats over it, it makes a move for land

lol, it's afraid, very afraid...

[vaffie]

Cloud watch alert:

Multiple clouds are forming in the vicinity of 92L. See Melbourne radar, Gulf of Mexico Infrared Loop.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfir.html

[Sanibel]

Gaining good structure on its way inland and NW over Florida. Its only hope is to get sent W by a ridge into GOM.

[ronjon]

The low pressure system is still offshore of Melbourne. More convection with it this morning. Have to wait for VIS SAT to see exactly what is going on.

[StormTracker]

[HURAKAN]

Looking a little better today.

[Sanibel]

Too Weak


Not sure of the direction.

[LarryWx]

The low pressure system is still offshore of Melbourne. More convection with it this morning. Have to wait for VIS SAT to see exactly what is going on.

As long as this surface low doesn't linger offshore for too long, it would have very little chance to develop. One would think the odds favor it moving inland fairly soon. However, it is drifting only very slowly to the NW (I think no more than ~5 mph) based on my look at radar/satellite. If it were to continue moving at this rate of speed, I think it would remain offshore at least another 24 hours. It is currently about 125 miles E or ENE from Daytona Beach. Because the surface high pressure to its north is pretty weak thus producing only a very weak E or NE wind, there currently is only weak steering flow. Note how weak the surface flow is to the north of it at the buoys and along the coast (averaging only near 5 knots). With SST's in the middle 80's, pretty weak shear that is expected to linger, a pretty compact system, and the time of year, I don't think this can completely be written off just yet even though the odds are probably still low for it to do too much. It is located in an area that has spawned tropical cyclone development on occasion since the late 1800's. Many of these subsequently hit the SE coast. So, to play it safe, I'd pay some attention to this along the SE coast until it is clear it is making a steady move inland.

[gatorcane]

Nothing.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241503
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER MAINELLI

[cpdaman]

well it is drifting in your general direction larry

but i don't think this will do anything

[Sanibel]

If it gets taken under a High and over to GOM it has a better chance over there. (If it survives the trip. It's awful weak)

[lrak]

Nothing.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241503
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER MAINELLI

Wow, thats very informative