Ixolib wrote:BayouVenteux wrote:As a former Mississippi coastal resident, you're not really serious are you?
Yeah, I'm really serious. But ONLY as it relates to the actual result compared to the foreboding language given in the AFD - which is why my post is directly and solely related to that document, quote for quote. I'm not blaming anyone for anything - especially not the N.O. NWS. Agreeably, the bulletin came out at 11am, and at that time things surely looked different. My point - with no malaise or contrary purpose intended - is simply that the AFD did not pan out - and thankfully so. My post is simply "my take" on the impact based on my own experience and my own observations both during and after the storm. Nothing more, nothing less.
BTW, I'm only a temporary "former" resident of the MS Coast. My present location here in St. Pete is just a relatively short-term hiatus. Our home is still there waiting for our return one of these days.
Understood, and my apologies if I took portions of your post out of context. The statement regarding "cry wolf syndrome" just seemed a stretch to me in light of Katrina's actual impact on the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts. Yes it miraculously wasn't a category 5 storm at either landfall and fortunately, a fair number of those effects described didn't come to fruition, but IMHO, I don't believe the wording of the NWS Katrina Sunday morning statement could ever be construed in hindsight by a substantial number of people as overestimating or overhyping the potential danger. To paraphrase former NHC director Max Mayfield, the difference between getting hit head-on by a category 3/4 storm instead of a category 5 is like getting run over by a speeding 18-wheeler instead of freight locomotive...and in Katrina's case, certainly not enough to worry that any sensible U.S. coastal residents heard a frantic "wolf!" cry, only to see peacefully grazing sheep.