ULL west of the Azores

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: ULL west of the Azores

#21 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 25, 2007 8:08 pm

Becomes tropical by FSU phase of the core of this system. Also it looks pretty good with convection forming near the core of the system. That is always something to watch for for tropical cyclone development. If it where to loss the frontal boundry it would be subtropical.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/mm5 ... 512/4.html
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#22 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 25, 2007 11:01 pm

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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#23 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 25, 2007 11:16 pm

Frontal system is moving away from the core of the system. With a small blow up forming near the center. Interesting, and if this keeps up this could be something.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/gE_ir.gif
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#24 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 25, 2007 11:20 pm

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds24.png

This quickscat shows nice low level wind field around it. Lets see if the stronger winds can form closer to the center. Which would mean a warmer core system. Its a long shot but our onlly chance at the moment.
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#25 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 25, 2007 11:36 pm

If we have to go way up to the North Atlantic at 40N lattitude to look for development, we know things are dead in the Atlantic.

It's an interesting feature but its a threat to nobody at this time as it wonders harmlessly just south of Greenland....
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 6:28 am

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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 7:04 am

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Convection has increased.
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#28 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 7:07 am

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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#29 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 26, 2007 8:42 am

GFS is currently analyzing this as an warm core system.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/07082606/14.html
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#30 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 8:43 am

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Vince:
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#31 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:00 am

it definitely looks warm core...
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#32 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:02 am

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I just sent an e-mail to James Franklin to know what's the opinion of the NHC. Usually he replies as soon as possible.
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Re:

#33 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:03 am

HURAKAN wrote:
I just sent an e-mail to James Franklin to know what's the opinion of the NHC. Usually he replies as soon as possible.


Cool, I emailed them yesterday, but got no response, I hope you have better luck.
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#34 Postby Chacor » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:04 am

Good idea. Will be interesting to hear what the NHC thinks.
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#35 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:04 am

:sleeping: But NHC continues to be silent about it.Maybe is because it is over 40n,that they dont mention it.If this was at 30n,for sure you would see a invest and the TWOs would be with sentences about it.
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#36 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:06 am

cycloneye wrote::sleeping: But NHC continues to be silent about it.Maybe is because it is over 40n,that they dont mention it.If this was at 30n,for sure you would see a invest and the TWOs would be with sentences about it.


There can always be one first time!!!
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#37 Postby Chacor » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:06 am

cycloneye wrote::sleeping: But NHC continues to be silent about it.Maybe is because it is over 40n,that they dont mention it.If this was at 30n,for sure you would see a invest and the TWOs would be with sentences about it.


Or if it was closer to land, especially the US or Canada.
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Re: ULL west of the Azores

#38 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:08 am

:uarrow: :uarrow: Both are trues. :)
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#39 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:13 am

Maybe they'll pay attention if a few of us email them. Or a lot of us.

That would be cool right? The hurricane that almost wasn't if it weren't for Storm2k. :wink:
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#40 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 26, 2007 9:33 am

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