Low Forming Off Carolina Coast

[Emmett_Brown]

Wow, it's moving south? I usually count out storms that move northeast off of NC, as I was doing with this one. But, it's southward movement means this oculd be a potential player.

I have noticed a S drift with the more western low. This vis loop shows it well as darkness fell:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huecvs.html

[Emmett_Brown]

Here is another good loop that shows the southward movement. Also shows convection refiring in spite of W shear:

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/satanim.cgi?banner=mkwc&chnl=ui4&domain=asb&size=large&period=360&incr=15&rr=300&satplat=goes12&overlay=off

[cpdaman]

well to those who surf or like to body surf in s/fl

i believe the low is in the swell window for s fl now to send a small northerly swell



does this have home grown tropical potential?

[Weatherfreak14]

I surf here in SC hopefully it it pulls back west wwe might get a swell from this over labor day weekend.

[cycloneye]

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SOUTHWARD.

10:30 PM TWO

[boca]

On the sat it looked like a SSE movement will it make the turn SW and then west once it gets below 30n.

[cpdaman]

the position of this low on the right side of a retreating high and the left side of a trough means NORTHERLY shear IMO

although if this is non tropical the shear may not play a large part in poss. deepening?

[cpdaman]

http://mkwc.ifa.hawaii.edu/satellite/sa ... verlay=off

1250 TWC tropical update said area is in a climatologically favorable area and needs to be watched and that higher seas are forecast for the mid atlantic and parts of the south east

as this low lingers for awhile

[punkyg]

[HURAKAN]

Looking good:

[BensonTCwatcher]

Man, the homebrew is bubbling. Looks like a looper setup?

[BigA]

Any idea if westerly shear in the area is expected to decrease soon? It looks like if it did decrease this thing would become classified pretty quickly

[vbhoutex]

Ladies and gentlemen, when you are posting an image with no explanation, how are people who do not know the tropics and weather in general supposed to know why you have posted that image?

Please provide at least a short explanation of why the image has been posted and what it shows so others can see and learn.

[CW0262]

The center of circulation is in the upper right hand corner of that SAT. pic. above.

[CW0262]

Meant to say ... another area of circulation is in the upper right hand corner of that pic

[Regit]

This system is now designated Invest 95L and can be discussed in the Active Storms Forum.