Invest 97L, Bay of Campeche

[Hyperstorm]

Things are popping up...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[Hyperstorm]

I think the system has very limited time to develop. If it keeps its forward pace, it should be inland this evening. However, the steering currents near Mexico and southern Texas are rather weak, so there is a possibility it could slow down and stall near the coast. In that case, we could see stronger intensification.

[Emmett_Brown]

Things are popping up...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Yup. No tropical cyclones, but at least a lot of suspicious areas to chat about. Its both extremely busy and extremely quiet at the same time.

[Thunder44]

Wow! 4 invests in the Atlantic at the same time. Well Minatitlan, Mexico is reporting as of 6:45am a WSW wind at 12mph and Veracruz is reporting at 7:51am a WNW wind now at 7mph. So there appears to be a low-level center trying get better organized there:

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMMT.html
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

[PhillyWX]

97L might make it to TD but the shelflife on this storm, given the location in the BOC, is very short and I can't see this doing much other than giving Mexico more rain.

[cycloneye]

30/1145 UTC 19.3N 94.7W T1.0/1.0 97L -- Atlantic Ocean


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[skysummit]

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1236 UTC THU AUG 30 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972007) 20070830 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070830 1200 070831 0000 070831 1200 070901 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.5N 95.0W 20.0N 97.2W 20.2N 99.3W 20.3N 101.2W
BAMD 19.5N 95.0W 19.9N 96.8W 19.8N 98.4W 19.9N 99.9W
BAMM 19.5N 95.0W 19.9N 97.0W 19.9N 98.9W 19.9N 100.8W
LBAR 19.5N 95.0W 20.1N 97.4W 20.8N 99.8W 21.4N 102.1W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 38KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 26KTS 27KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070901 1200 070902 1200 070903 1200 070904 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.6N 103.3W 20.9N 107.5W 21.3N 112.5W 20.4N 116.9W
BAMD 20.1N 101.4W 21.3N 104.0W 23.3N 105.9W 25.2N 106.8W
BAMM 20.1N 102.7W 20.7N 106.8W 21.7N 111.5W 22.0N 116.1W
LBAR 22.0N 104.1W 23.6N 107.4W 25.5N 110.2W 27.3N 112.4W
SHIP 55KTS 69KTS 73KTS 68KTS
DSHP 27KTS 32KTS 36KTS 31KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.5N LONCUR = 95.0W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 19.2N LONM12 = 93.1W DIRM12 = 290DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 17.5N LONM24 = 89.2W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[lrak]

what is the other blob thats just been sitting for 2 days now next to this invest on the other side of the Yucatan, near the city of Chetumal? Will it somehow affect the BOC.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I think that beauty on the Pacific will steal the energy for the BOC and 97L...

[windstorm99]

Looks like some rain for mexico but no real significant worries with this mess.

[Sanibel]

Wicked convection. It all started as a surface Low that was pulled off Colombia. Will probably track over land.

[O Town]

erased! posted wrong image.............not hard to get confused with 4 invests. lol.

[CrazyC83]

Looks like they might want to bring the Recon into this instead...that looks close to being TD6...

[HURAKAN]

erased! posted wrong image.............not hard to get confused with 4 invests. lol.

This is 96L, not 97L.

[O Town]

Yeah, I know I erased it as soon as I noticed.....too many invest!!!!! HA!

[O Town]

THIS would be 97L, doesn't look as good as 96 though.

[CrazyC83]

It does have more favorable conditions for development than any of the other systems, but time is working against it. It has to become a TD in the next 24 hours or it will be on land...

[Hurricanehink]

To my untrained eye, it looks like there is a swirl on the southern edge of the convection, but it is starting to move ashore.

[Weatherfreak14]

i think there maybe something out here but it is too close to land to do anything now.. but still more rain for an area completly saturated from dean.

[CrazyC83]

It looks the best of the four Invests (including the ex-Invest)...and the closest to being TD6, but it doesn't have much time to do anything.