Invest 96L,North Atlantic-Discussions

[Brent]

I'm confused as to which one is which...

[cycloneye]

I'm confused as to which one is which...

Is better to have a bunch than to have none.

[CrazyC83]

50 knot winds? That isn't TD6, but TS Felix perhaps!

[storms in NC]

I am having a time to see which is which. They should use a color code on these Topics titles. Like red green so we can see which one we are trying to read.

[cycloneye]

I am having a time to see which is which. They should use a color code on these threads. Like red green so we can see which one we are trying to read.

All the invest threads in the titles are identified with the area where it is.

[HeeBGBz]

Yeah, I went to work and nothing much was happening and come home and there's four invests. What happens when you run out of floaters?

[storms in NC]

I am having a time to see which is which. They should use a color code on these threads. Like red green so we can see which one we are trying to read.

All the invest threads in the titles are identified with the area where it is.

Yeah but when you are old and can't see out of one eye and blind in the other it is hard. Like there was two 95. you had to look hard to see which one was which.
I know put the speck on.LOL

[HURAKAN]

Becoming exposed:

[wxman57]

50 knot winds? That isn't TD6, but TS Felix perhaps!

Those are cloud motions, winds aloft - not at the surface. It's embedded in the Polar jet stream, thus the strong SW winds aloft. Surface winds are in the 10-20 kt range. Still, it might have a shot at a brief spin up before it's torn apart.

[HURAKAN]

First time we see 5:



BOC eliminated:

[storms in NC]

There is No 95L any more so there is only 4 now

[wxman57]

Just snapped a GARP screen shot of 96L. Looks like shear is affecting it now with the upper low to the west. You can see a little vortex has rotated out from beneath the convection. Winds around the disturbance are relatively light (10kts).

[chadtm80]

There is No 95L any more so there is only 4 now

????
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... k_vis/dmsp

[storms in NC]

There is No 95L any more so there is only 4 now

????
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... k_vis/dmsp

sorry only 3 at this time
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
ABNT20 KNHC 301525 CCA
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU AUG 30 2007







SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISORGANIZED NON-TROPICAL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE GEORGIA COAST HAS
DIMINISHED...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

[BreinLa]

Sheeesh I am leaving for south Carolina in the morning what the heck is happening here. GO CAJUNS

[cycloneye]

Sheeesh I am leaving for south Carolina in the morning what the heck is happening here. GO CAJUNS

Nothing to worrie about as 96L will be pushed Northeast as a front will move it that way.

[CrazyC83]

This is exactly how Chantal developed...

[Chacor]

Interesting wording in the TWO though...

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF
CAPE HATTERAS. THIS SYSTEM...WHICH IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY...IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE LOW WILL HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION BEFORE BECOMING OVERTAKEN BY THE
FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

[skysummit]

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1826 UTC THU AUG 30 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962007) 20070830 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070830 1800 070831 0600 070831 1800 070901 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 36.2N 70.0W 37.5N 70.6W 38.8N 70.7W 39.6N 69.3W
BAMD 36.2N 70.0W 37.7N 69.7W 39.9N 68.3W 42.9N 64.8W
BAMM 36.2N 70.0W 37.6N 70.2W 39.2N 69.6W 41.1N 67.0W
LBAR 36.2N 70.0W 37.3N 69.2W 39.2N 67.7W 41.7N 64.8W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070901 1800 070902 1800 070903 1800 070904 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 39.7N 66.0W 37.9N 57.9W 36.3N 53.0W 36.6N 48.3W
BAMD 46.6N 59.9W 53.3N 48.1W 60.0N 32.1W 63.6N 10.0W
BAMM 43.2N 62.3W 46.3N 52.5W 48.2N 43.6W 51.0N 32.8W
LBAR 45.2N 60.0W 53.7N 41.2W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 56KTS 51KTS 48KTS 42KTS
DSHP 56KTS 51KTS 48KTS 42KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 36.2N LONCUR = 70.0W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 35.5N LONM12 = 70.2W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 34.6N LONM24 = 70.2W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[wxman57]

I'm looking at a water vapor loop and I see quite a bit of wind shear building over 96L this afternoon. It may have missed its chance for development. Might not be much left by tomorrow morning.