Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions

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Coredesat

Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#881 Postby Coredesat » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:20 am

Pearl River wrote:See Terms of Usage at the bottom of the page.


There's no disclaimer there either. I sent off an email. I'm expecting a negative reply.
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#882 Postby dtrain44 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:20 am

Well, shoot: Fox News has probably consulted their buddies with Accuweather and issued tropical storm warnings for the islands.

Does anyone have a read on what the reasoning is for the above track/intensity forecast? I don't think there's a lot of argument that the system is probably a TD by now, but those graphics are pretty ridiculous without good explanations. Again, with the exception of pressure, this seems close to the consensus here, but who puts that out without good evidence?
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#883 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:21 am

Just watched JB's video Big Dog for Friday. His track on unnamed system/TD6/Felix is pretty much the same as what Wxman57 and Derek are saying. He sees a strong ridge keeping the storm pretty much due west until it hits Central America.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#884 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:21 am

Oh, I see that they're (AccuWeather) saying it has a 988mb pressure now? That must be a mistake. Perhaps they are forecasting that as the minimum pressure in a few days. Certainly above 1000 mb now, probably 1004-1006 mb.
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#885 Postby hial2 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:21 am

Chacor wrote:Anyone with knowledge of US law... can Accuweather be sued if people take their false info and act on it?


Not being a lawyer,but knowing them as I do,I'd say yes..hey,if a dry cleaner can be sued for millions for losing a pair of pants,anything is possible!!
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#886 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:22 am

Imagine the embarrasment AccuWX will face if the Recon comes back finding a wave?
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#887 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:22 am

AccuWeather has as much right to issue warnings for the islands as me.


The Government of RL3AO has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Lesser Antilles.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#888 Postby Zardoz » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:22 am

Meanwhile, 94L continues to look more impressive with each passing hour:

GOES East Rainbow

GOES Floater One Rainbow
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#889 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:23 am

tolakram wrote:http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/index.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0

All of that is from their publicly available hurricane page.


And they had to Trademark this?

"Depression Eye Path™"

Good Gawd. Where's the nearest wastebasket?
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#890 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:24 am

Coredesat wrote:
Pearl River wrote:See Terms of Usage at the bottom of the page.


There's no disclaimer there either. I sent off an email. I'm expecting a negative reply.


Yes there is:

# Disclaimer. AccuWeather makes no express or implied warranties, guarantees or affirmations that weather information will occur or has occurred as the reports, forecasts, graphics, data, briefings or information comprising the Site, products or services state, represent or depict and AccuWeather shall have no responsibility or liability whatsoever to Subscriber or any other person or entity, parties and nonparties alike, for any inconsistency, inaccuracy or omission for weather or events predicted or depicted, reported, occurring or occurred. There may be times when data or services from third parties that AccuWeather normally uses as all or a part of the basis of its forecasts, graphic, or other products, information, and services is unavailable or disregarded and AccuWeather shall have the right to continue to issue such products, information and services without informing the end user of the changed basis or source of such products, information, or services and to change sources from time to time. Web-based and Mobile/wireless services are dependent upon open communications networks provided by third parties, and AccuWeather is not responsible for lack of services due to communications network outages. SUBSCRIBER IS ADVISED AND INFORMED THAT THE GOVERNMENT ISSUES OFFICIAL WATCHES, WARNINGS, AND ADVISORIES, BULLETINS AND OTHER COMMUNICATIONS. SUBSCRIBER SHOULD KEEP ADVISED OF SAME. SUBSCRIBER AND THIRD PARTIES ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR ACTION OR LACK OF ACTION TAKEN TO PRESERVE LIFE OR PROPERTY. AccuWeather makes no warranty or representation with respect to any Provider products or materials. Subscriber is advised and informed that content provided or accessed through the Site in association with wireless weather information services is not provided by, the responsibility of, nor within the control of, any mobile/wireless communications carriers, internet service providers, or internet storefronts.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#891 Postby Coredesat » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:25 am

Zardoz wrote:Meanwhile, 94L continues to look more impressive with each passing hour:

GOES East Rainbow

GOES Floater One Rainbow


It does look good, but try not to use the rainbow channel as it exaggerates cloud top temperatures.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#892 Postby Zardoz » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:27 am

Coredesat wrote:
Zardoz wrote:Meanwhile, 94L continues to look more impressive with each passing hour:

GOES East Rainbow

GOES Floater One Rainbow


It does look good, but try not to use the rainbow channel as it exaggerates cloud top temperatures.

Okay. Didn't know that.
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Re:

#893 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:27 am

CrazyC83 wrote:Imagine the embarrasment AccuWX will face if the Recon comes back finding a wave?


Yeah ... it would be sweet.

But to tell the truth I do think recon will find a TD.

Not 988mb though - that's just ridiculous.
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#894 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:27 am

Latest:
Image

Image
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#895 Postby Emmett_Brown » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:31 am

I think this is a TD, but i have thought that before, and seen recon come back unable to close off a center. I think recon will find a closed LLC today, but Accuweather will look kind of silly if they cant close off a center.
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#896 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:33 am

It could be on it way to TS at any time. I would say by 11 PM it will be a TS. MO
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#897 Postby Pearl River » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:33 am

Thanks x-y-no :D
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#898 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:33 am

Emmett_Brown wrote:I think this is a TD, but i have thought that before, and seen recon come back unable to close off a center. I think recon will find a closed LLC today, but Accuweather will look kind of silly if they cant close off a center.


They'll just delete the graphic and pretend it never happened.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#899 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:38 am

I would not rule out that NHC may issue a Special Advisory right after the first recon pass thru low center,if it shows a closed circulation and not wait until 5 PM.
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Re: Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#900 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:38 am

Portastorm wrote:Just watched JB's video Big Dog for Friday. His track on unnamed system/TD6/Felix is pretty much the same as what Wxman57 and Derek are saying. He sees a strong ridge keeping the storm pretty much due west until it hits Central America.



Jb said west? Now I am worried about it turning north :)
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