Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[Cyclone1]

Let's all hope it Pulls a Gamma. Back when it was TS-27, it was forecast to become a hurricane south of Jamaica. Then, just died. Come on Felix. South Yucatan/Belize doesn't need this.

[Derek Ortt]

if Felix has to hit anywhere, best place is the south Yucatan. nothing to damage there and few, if any will be killed

Unfortunately, this one is likely going to Honduras

[RL3AO]

Unfortunately, this one is likely going to Honduras

I totally agree. I've been thinking Honduras/Nicaragua for a few days now. I think the models are too far north, and I think the NHC is a tad north. But that is just my non-professional opinion.

[Scorpion]

Let's all hope it Pulls a Gamma. Back when it was TS-27, it was forecast to become a hurricane south of Jamaica. Then, just died. Come on Felix. South Yucatan/Belize doesn't need this.

This was in late November. Huge difference.

[Cyclenall]

I'm amazed at how fast this Felix is organizing. It's going to be a monster of a hurricane soon enough. I think it's a hurricane now and recon is going to be finding that. I wish the sun wasn't setting though!

[Brent]

Looks like it's Hurricane Felix.

223800 1238N 06533W 7546 02443 9971 +162 +126 127064 075 066 007 00

75 kt at FL, 66 kt at the surface.

[Cyclone1]

Let's all hope it Pulls a Gamma. Back when it was TS-27, it was forecast to become a hurricane south of Jamaica. Then, just died. Come on Felix. South Yucatan/Belize doesn't need this.

This was in late November. Huge difference.

Oh I know. That's exactly why it will NOT pull a Gamma. But I bet a lot of people in the Caribbean wish it would... I could see this beocming stronger than a category three. Easily.

BTW, If this does go south of the model plots, then it'll be a flooder in Central America, or a major impact to Belize City.

[Brent]

Let's all hope it Pulls a Gamma. Back when it was TS-27, it was forecast to become a hurricane south of Jamaica. Then, just died. Come on Felix. South Yucatan/Belize doesn't need this.

This was in late November. Huge difference.

Oh I know. That's exactly why it will NOT pull a Gamma. But I bet a lot of people in the Caribbean wish it would... I could see this beocming stronger than a category three. Easily.

BTW, If this does go south of the model plots, then it'll be a flooder in Central America, or a major impact to Belize City.

I agree, I'll be SHOCKED if it only gets to Cat 3... I fully expect at least a 4 out of this.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

As long as the shear reminds low and its moving into the TCHP. It is how much time it has that tells how strong it will be. This could be another dean if given the time.

Dean did not sound like a mean name. But Felix is kind of like Floyd to me. Also Ingrid sounds like a beast from the underworld. You should of been rooting for 96L to get Felix because Felix is now going to be feasting.

[Aric Dunn]

radar starting to reveal a fairly evident eyewall ... although still a distance away from the radar .. cant wait till it gets closer so we can see the whole shebang

http://www.weather.an/sat_img/radar.asp#

click on "Cappi Color"

[HURAKAN]

South America doesn't appear to but could be inflicting some harm into Félix's circulation and we already have seen what Félix has been able to do. Once it clears the continent completely SST will increase and if shear remains low a cat. 4 or 5 is very possible.

[HURAKAN]

Looking like a hurricane.

[vaffie]

Looking like a hurricane.

Looking like a weak but rapidly strengthening hurricane with scary potential.

[mattpetre]

Looking at the forecast points vs my own interpretation of the visible, it seems to be gaining a bit more latitude than the forecast calls for. Anyone else also seeing this?

[vaffie]

Looking at the forecast points vs my own interpretation of the visible, it seems to be gaining a bit more latitude than the forecast calls for. Anyone else also seeing this?

I thought so too. But it's hard to tell until there really is an eye to track.

[MGC]

Felix looks to be another major hurricane by the time he reaches the western Carb. The only thing holding him back now is its close proximity to South America. Felix could easily be a Cat-4 hurricane. Should pass just to the north of the ABC islands. Looks like another carbon copy of Dean's track except a little futher south. North Honduras or Belize perhaps. USA should be safe......MGC

[El Nino]

I think RECON has found hurricane force winds.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Getting stronger...

URNT12 KNHC 012335
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 01/2241Z
B. 12 DEG 29 MIN N
65 DEG 43 MIN W
C. NA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 129 DEG 77 KTS
G. 050 DEG 14 NM
H. 993 MB
I. 16 C/ 2423 M
J. 17 C/ 2450 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE
M. C30
N. 12345/7NA
O. 1/2 NM
P. N0AA2 0506A FELIX OB 09
MAX FL WIND 77 KT NE QUAD 2238Z

[HurricaneHunter914]

Yup, it's definitly a hurricane now. There'll probably be an upgrade at the 8:00 PM Advisory.

[jhamps10]

I think RECON has found hurricane force winds.

agreed, I think we may see it be upgraded at 8, but not likely however 11PM for sure the way it's going right now. heck the way it's going it may be a cat 3 in 24 hours.