Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

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CrazyC83
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#81 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:10 pm

Pressure found: 935mb

Winds found: 147 kt FL = 132 kt surface
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Scorpion

#82 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:11 pm

Sounds about right
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Re:

#83 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:13 pm

Scorpion wrote:Sounds about right


I would guess, unless bigger winds come on the pass out, the intensity is 130 kt/938mb.
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Scorpion

#84 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:13 pm

That's some high pressure for that strong of a wind
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Re:

#85 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:14 pm

Scorpion wrote:That's some high pressure for that strong of a wind


The ambient pressure in the area is high, although it has dropped a bit. Typically 130 kt winds have a pressure around 928mb.
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#86 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:15 pm

225300 1345N 07234W 6860 02821 9432 +182 +120 134087 107 163 011 03

Is that 163kts SFMR?!!?!?!?!? :eek:
Last edited by miamicanes177 on Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#87 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:15 pm

Scorpion wrote:That's some high pressure for that strong of a wind


Yeah it is but Emily was a Cat 5 with a pressure in the low 930's, so it's not unheard of.
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#88 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:16 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:225300 1345N 07234W 6860 02821 9432 +182 +120 134087 107 163 011 03

Is that 163kts SFMR?!!?!?!?!? :eek:


Has to be an error if it is. The pressure comes nowhere near supporting 163 kt (usually it would be sub-900 if it was that intense)...
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#89 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:17 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:225300 1345N 07234W 6860 02821 9432 +182 +120 134087 107 163 011 03

Is that 163kts SFMR?!!?!?!?!? :eek:


Has to be an error if it is. The pressure comes nowhere near supporting 163 kt (usually it would be sub-900 if it was that intense)...

225230 1346N 07233W 6674 03140 9578 +116 +108 134123 147 158 028 03

158kts right before though...
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#90 Postby thunderchief » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:17 pm

this storm is increadibly tight and rapidly intensifying. Its pressure will be much higher for a 5 than normal.
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#91 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:19 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:225300 1345N 07234W 6860 02821 9432 +182 +120 134087 107 163 011 03

Is that 163kts SFMR?!!?!?!?!? :eek:


Has to be an error if it is. The pressure comes nowhere near supporting 163 kt (usually it would be sub-900 if it was that intense)...

225230 1346N 07233W 6674 03140 9578 +116 +108 134123 147 158 028 03

158kts right before though...

That 3 at the end means the SFMR data is questionable. (highly, IMHO)

FYI: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt

#92 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:20 pm

the latest data had an unflagged 142KT
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Re:

#93 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:21 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the latest data had an unflagged 142KT


crap, you're right . . .
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Re:

#94 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:22 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the latest data had an unflagged 142KT

I've never heard of surface winds being higher than flight level winds. FL winds are only 147kts and SFRM is reporting 142kts...158kts..and 163kts...so either something is wrong or this beast is on steroids.
Last edited by miamicanes177 on Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#95 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:22 pm

I haven't seen much else to suggest Cat 5 at this point. I don't think Felix is a Cat 5 yet (I'm guessing 130 kt), but clearly on its way barring an ERC.
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#96 Postby thunderchief » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:23 pm

borderline 4/5, and its certianly not done strengthening.
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Re: Re:

#97 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:23 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:the latest data had an unflagged 142KT

I've never heard of surface winds being higher than flight level winds. FL winds are only 147kts and SFRM is reporting 142kts...158kts..and 163kts...so either something is wrong or this beast is on steroids.


Maybe Felix the Cat pulled something out of his magic bag of tricks?
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Re: Hurricane Félix: RECON Discussion

#98 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:23 pm

I think I've heard that some extremely efficient storms can have surface winds that are equal to flv winds. Is that true?
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Re:

#99 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:24 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the latest data had an unflagged 142KT

Hmmm...roughly 163 mph according to SFMR then, if that unflagged report is correct.
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Derek Ortt

#100 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Sep 02, 2007 6:25 pm

the reduction factor is between .6 and 1.2... so the highest SFMR winds are not unreasonable... just unlikely as they are close to the upper limit of the range... want a dropsonde to confirm
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