Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
When was the last recon flight aborted due to extreme turbulence? Hugo?....MGC
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
jhamps10 wrote:jaxfladude wrote:IS THE RECON CREW SAFE??
PRAYERS FOR THEM IN ANY CASE!!
I'd say that they are safe, I think they turned around due to the extreme conditions, that's all, espically since i believe we are still getting recon data.
THAT IS GOOD NEWS....
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
We don't have a good handle on how strong this thing is. We have surface wind data easly supporting higher...The nhc also says at least 145 knots. I hope we can get another recon into the storm soon.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:We don't have a good handle on how strong this thing is. We have surface wind data easly supporting higher...The nhc also says at least 145 knots. I hope we can get another recon into the storm soon.
I think the next flight is supposed to take off sometime later this evening, it may be the NOAA g4 flight, but I think AF still has another flight planned tonight, however this may change due to the extreme conditions.
Personally I'd go closer to 150 kts right now.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
Looks better than any storm we have seen in awhile. Definately reminicent of Andrew. Imagine sitting ther watching that buzz saw come at you.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
jhamps10 wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:We don't have a good handle on how strong this thing is. We have surface wind data easly supporting higher...The nhc also says at least 145 knots. I hope we can get another recon into the storm soon.
I think the next flight is supposed to take off sometime later this evening, it may be the NOAA g4 flight, but I think AF still has another flight planned tonight, however this may change due to the extreme conditions.
Personally I'd go closer to 150 kts right now.
Would it work if they flew their next mission at, say, 600mb instead of 700mb?
Me too and I'd drop the pressure - 925mb seems correct at the rate of intensification.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:We don't have a good handle on how strong this thing is. We have surface wind data easly supporting higher...The nhc also says at least 145 knots. I hope we can get another recon into the storm soon.
Yes we do. Very strong. CAT 5 and a half (5.5).
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
The red keeps expanding!

most recent sat image.




most recent sat image.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
And even more red 30 minutes later...


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They must have really gotten pounded in rapidly intensifying Felix the Cat 5. Good to get out of there. I was on the P3 in a weaker cane and popping bonnie like M&Ms. It is really a rough ride. The equipment is bolted to the floor and then has chains on it in case the bolts fail. I saw the chains tighten up a few times on our mission.
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This from Derek Ortt, and very scary:
Felix has exploded into a strong category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of at least 175 mph and is heading toward northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Felix is expected to arrive on Tuesday morning. While fluctuations in intensity are expected before landfall or closest approach, Felix is likely to strike as a category 4 or 5 hurricane.
In addition, Felix has grown in size and is bringing heavy rainfall to both Columbia and Haiti. Local accumulations of 3-5 inches can be expected in these areas tonight. The outer rainbands are also expected to spread over Jamaica where 5-7 inches of rain may occur in the mountains.
It is essential to comply with any and all advice given by local military and emergency management officials in order to prevent this from becoming an even more catastrophic situation.
Felix has exploded into a strong category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of at least 175 mph and is heading toward northern Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. Felix is expected to arrive on Tuesday morning. While fluctuations in intensity are expected before landfall or closest approach, Felix is likely to strike as a category 4 or 5 hurricane.
In addition, Felix has grown in size and is bringing heavy rainfall to both Columbia and Haiti. Local accumulations of 3-5 inches can be expected in these areas tonight. The outer rainbands are also expected to spread over Jamaica where 5-7 inches of rain may occur in the mountains.
It is essential to comply with any and all advice given by local military and emergency management officials in order to prevent this from becoming an even more catastrophic situation.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
The Atlantic Basin sure has had its share of IH's during this warming cycle. It's uncanny the number of majors and Cat 5's at that.
Steve
Steve
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45
This from the 8pm special discussion:
"A dropsonde released in the southwest quadrant landed in the northeast quadrant."
Wow.....MGC
"A dropsonde released in the southwest quadrant landed in the northeast quadrant."
Wow.....MGC
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