Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

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Duddy
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#961 Postby Duddy » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:39 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:A Navy hurricane hunter flight was lost with all aboard in what was believed to be Category 4 Hurricane Janet, following a very similar track and forecast track.


Jesus Christ do not jinx them!

That sat shows a perfect ball of death!
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#962 Postby punkyg » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:42 pm

Who thinks Felix might become a annular hurricane?
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#963 Postby MGC » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:42 pm

God Bless our recon crews......MGC
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#964 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:42 pm

Felix is taking me back to the craziness of the 2005 storms especially Wilma.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#965 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:43 pm

02/2345 UTC 13.8N 73.0W T7.0/7.0 FELIX -- Atlantic Ocean
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#966 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:43 pm

The following post is the opinion of Cryomaniac, and as such is not based on any information, either meterological or otherwise. It should not be used for any purpose

:eek:

At a risk of being accused of -removed-, I think this could end up more intense even than Wilma.
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#967 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:43 pm

Next penetration which probably won't be for another 5-6 hours will probably see a 900-910 mb pressure I think.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#968 Postby weatherman21 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:43 pm

IR Imagery Below taken of Hurricane Felix at 0:15Z:

Image

A closer look:
Image
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#969 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:44 pm

Be thankful these 2 CAT5'S have stayed away from the U.S.
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#970 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:44 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:The following post is the opinion of Cryomaniac, and as such is not based on any information, either meterological or otherwise. It should not be used for any purpose

:eek:

At a risk of being accused of -removed-, I think this could end up more intense even than Wilma.


Probably won't be (at least until after an ERC) as the ambient pressure is too high. Winds would need to be well over 200 mph to reach Wilma levels. The winds could easily reach 185 or 190 though...
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#971 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:45 pm

punkyg wrote:Who thinks Felix might become a annular hurricane?


Doubtful. I sense an ERC sooner or later.
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#972 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:45 pm

934 MB, how typical is that of Category 5s?
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#973 Postby jhamps10 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:45 pm

chrisnnavarre wrote:Really need to keep an eye on this now. The stronger the storm normally the more poleward they move. Any weakness at all in guiding ridge to the north spells trouble for the GOM. :eek:


your right, a stronger storm would want to go poleward, IF there is a weakness, which the models are pointing towards possibly. It's going to need to be pretty big for it to effect Felix though right now.
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Re:

#974 Postby RL3AO » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:46 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:934 MB, how typical is that of Category 5s?


Very high pressure.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#975 Postby clfenwi » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:46 pm

hial2 wrote:
Pebbles wrote:
BECAUSE OF THE EXTREME TURBULENCE AND
GROUPEL THAT THE AIRCRAFT EXPERIENCED...THE MISSION IS BEING
ABORTED AND THE AIRCRAFT IS RETURNING TO ST. CROIX.

wow so bad they won't fly in it! now that's something else! I will GOGGLE at that in shock :eek:


I will for sure Google "groupel"..never heard that word!


The forecaster misspelled it; the word is graupel—Heavily rimed snow particles, often called snow pellets; often indistinguishable from very small soft hail except for the size convention that hail must have a diameter greater than 5 mm.
Sometimes distinguished by shape into conical, hexagonal, and lump (irregular) (Definition from AMS Glossary)
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Re: Re:

#976 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:46 pm

RL3AO wrote:
HarlequinBoy wrote:934 MB, how typical is that of Category 5s?


Very high pressure.
It is the opposite of Wilma being a sub 900mb cat 4
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#977 Postby KatDaddy » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:47 pm

Felix is just an amazing tropical cyclone. Very rapid intensification. God forbid that happens off the coast of the States. Its just a matter of time
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Re:

#978 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:47 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:934 MB, how typical is that of Category 5s?


Not unprecedented, especially at low latitudes. Ivan was in the 930s when it hit Cat 5 for the first time (it reached 910 much later).
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Re: Re:

#979 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:47 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Probably won't be (at least until after an ERC) as the ambient pressure is too high. Winds would need to be well over 200 mph to reach Wilma levels. The winds could easily reach 185 or 190 though...


:eek:
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Re:

#980 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:48 pm

KatDaddy wrote:Felix is just an amazing tropical cyclone. Very rapid intensification. God forbid that happens off the coast of the States. Its just a matter of time


Or off any vulnerable coast for that matter. Good thing there isn't much land in the immediate future. Land impacts are probably at least 36 hours and 1 or 2 ERC's away.
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