Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

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chrisnnavarre
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#981 Postby chrisnnavarre » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:48 pm

jhamps10 wrote:
chrisnnavarre wrote:Really need to keep an eye on this now. The stronger the storm normally the more poleward they move. Any weakness at all in guiding ridge to the north spells trouble for the GOM. :eek:


your right, a stronger storm would want to go poleward, IF there is a weakness, which the models are pointing towards possibly. It's going to need to be pretty big for it to effect Felix though right now.


I think any reduction in forward speed right now would be a sign of trouble.
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#982 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:48 pm

Keep the sat pics coming people, I'm saving every single one on my computer. This is one hurricane that I want to keep on my computer.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#983 Postby dhweather » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:50 pm

The pressure will catch up with the strength in time.

This is amazing, this is about as rapid as intensification gets.


Hopefully, we'll get buoy data, it's not worth the risk for the Hurricane Hunters to fly into this thing.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#984 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:50 pm

Image
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#985 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:51 pm

Twins separated at birth? They look very similar! (Now don't make that triplets, 98L!)
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#986 Postby jhamps10 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:51 pm

Image
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#987 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:54 pm

dhweather wrote:The pressure will catch up with the strength in time.

This is amazing, this is about as rapid as intensification gets.


Hopefully, we'll get buoy data, it's not worth the risk for the Hurricane Hunters to fly into this thing.



the pressure will not catch up.... its the other way around... the winds catch up to the pressure.. the pressure in that area of the caribbean is higher than other areas in the caribbean, so the hurricane will have a generally higher pressure...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#988 Postby CaribJam » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:55 pm

Very dangerous Hurricane Felix seems to be expanding by the hour. In Jamaica, we WERE NOT expecting any significant impact from Felix.
However, based on the Felix's intensification, the expansion of the "red areas" and the projected path (considering possible wobbles), what do you think is the worst case scenario for Jamaica tomorrow?
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#989 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:56 pm

No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#990 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:57 pm

CaribJam wrote:Very dangerous Hurricane Felix seems to be expanding by the hour. In Jamaica, we WERE NOT expecting any significant impact from Felix.
However, based on the Felix's intensification, the expansion of the "red areas" and the projected path (considering possible wobbles), what do you think is the worst case scenario for Jamaica tomorrow?


More northerly wobbles would surely bring tropical storm conditions, maybe Cat 1 hurricane conditions. I'd issue a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning personally.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#991 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:58 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.


:eek: That would be crazy.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#992 Postby Duddy » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:58 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.


:eek: That would be crazy.


That would make my night. :P
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#993 Postby RL3AO » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:59 pm

Cryomaniac wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.


:eek: That would be crazy.


If they feel the plane is in danger, they will never allow it to go out no matter if the crew is willing or not.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#994 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:59 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.


Your clueless... They don't draw straws.

Have a little more respect for what they do.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#995 Postby dhweather » Sun Sep 02, 2007 7:59 pm

vacanechaser wrote:
dhweather wrote:The pressure will catch up with the strength in time.

This is amazing, this is about as rapid as intensification gets.


Hopefully, we'll get buoy data, it's not worth the risk for the Hurricane Hunters to fly into this thing.



the pressure will not catch up.... its the other way around... the winds catch up to the pressure.. the pressure in that area of the caribbean is higher than other areas in the caribbean, so the hurricane will have a generally higher pressure...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team


Jesse, I know, but given the freakish rapid intensification, I can't help but to wonder if the pressure hasn't caught up to the winds. You think this one will become annular?
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#996 Postby Frank P » Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:01 pm

This is one incredible looking cane right now... it almost looks perfect on the IR... two canes thus far this season and both Cat 5s... unbelievable...

Can you image the panic in the CONUS if this was making a bee line at the states... it would be unreal... we've been lucky for the past two years... everyone needs to realize that its just a matter of time before some unlucky coastal area will be faced with such a monster... right now its the residents of the central american coast that are the unlucky ones...
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#997 Postby Cryomaniac » Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:02 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:No way winds are only 165mph in my opinion. I would go with 185mph and if they can find a crew that is willing to take a risk and fly into it tonight I would bet 200mph.


Your clueless... They don't draw straws.

Have a little more respect for what they do.


I don't see how that's in any way disrespectful.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#998 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:02 pm

Spectacular stuff.....

Image
Last edited by windstorm99 on Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane FELIX:Caribbean-Discussions & Imagery 8 PM pag 45

#999 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:02 pm

dhweather wrote:
vacanechaser wrote:
dhweather wrote:The pressure will catch up with the strength in time.

This is amazing, this is about as rapid as intensification gets.


Hopefully, we'll get buoy data, it's not worth the risk for the Hurricane Hunters to fly into this thing.



the pressure will not catch up.... its the other way around... the winds catch up to the pressure.. the pressure in that area of the caribbean is higher than other areas in the caribbean, so the hurricane will have a generally higher pressure...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team


Jesse, I know, but given the freakish rapid intensification, I can't help but to wonder if the pressure hasn't caught up to the winds. You think this one will become annular?



i dont know... lol... it might, hell it has done everything else unexpected to this point... lol....




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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Re: Re:

#1000 Postby clfenwi » Sun Sep 02, 2007 8:02 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
HarlequinBoy wrote:934 MB, how typical is that of Category 5s?


Not unprecedented, especially at low latitudes. Ivan was in the 930s when it hit Cat 5 for the first time (it reached 910 much later).


No, it was at 925 when it went cat 5 ( see http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/pub/al092004.public_a.027.shtml? )

Going through the modern era records, the closest analogy I can find is Anita 1977: 931 millibars 140 knots.
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