Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

[PhillyWX]

The 12z GFS today brought this right up the East Coast. This could be a potential rain maker for Sunday and Monday as it rides up ahead of the trough which is supposed to move east.

One thing to keep in mind is that Henriette's remnant moisture will probably be caught up in the trough and sucked NE into the Plains. We could have a potentially heavy rainfall event for Sunday into Monday for the I-95 corridor IF the 12z GFS verifies.

[HURAKAN]

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=97686&p=1619699#p1619699

There is a separate thread for all model outputs. The problem is that people like to see the models but since we're constantly updating this thread, then the information gets lost to previous pages.

[vacanechaser]

doesnt look like much of a trough to get it... the ridge drives it westward and into the carolina coast






Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[storms in NC]

Hey that is my house there Jesse
LOL

It is going to be really interesting to see what it is going to do. I think best TS.

[vacanechaser]

Hey that is my house there Jesse
LOL

lol.. yep... BOARD UP NOW!!!, no just kidding... better be watching this one




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[canegrl04]

Is there a possibility this could move sw into north florida.

At that latitude the most likely scenario is north, NW, and then NE as a trough picks it up.

This is what some models for forecasting to move 98L NW. Looks like its falling into place,and US should be monitoring 98L closely

[ronjon]

Early model runs from the BAM suite show a S-SE drift and then headed back west either over north-central FL in the NE GOM and just off the FL east coast.

https://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pageid=2854,19644915,2854_19644936:2854_19645022:2854_19645029&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL

[punkyg]

[jrod]

Maybe Im just not looking at the models right, but I dont see any troughs coming to pick this one up in the next week or so.

[Hurricaneman]

who knows, this might just sit and fester for a week to 10 days

[CrazyC83]

Being stuck in the ridge, I think this is going to be like Ophelia whether it develops or not. I think it is just going to sit there and drift all over the place.

[PhillyWX]

doesnt look like much of a trough to get it... the ridge drives it westward and into the carolina coast

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

It then rides up the coast -- check hour 162.

[punkyg]

Any one believe the models or do yall say its going to the north east.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I think it'll get strong and then
it will sweep the carolinas, georgia, and
florida with heavy surf!!!! WAHOO!!!
East Coasters get your SurfBoards Ready to Go!!!!!!

[punkyg]

I think it'll get strong and then
it will sweep the carolinas, georgia, and
florida with heavy surf!!!! WAHOO!!!
East Coasters get your SurfBoards Ready to Go!!!!!!

99L may give you the heavy surf or not, but if he don't then don't worry santa claus will give it to you.

[dixiebreeze]

Before everyone gets too excited, check out the "surface forcast" prediction by TAFB for the next 48 hrs.:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine_forecasts.shtml

[jaxfladude]

Yikes!!!

[HURAKAN]

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Yikes!!!

This one is already pretty close to you...and it might get
even closer...

[artist]

punkyg - the bam models are only really good for the deep tropics - in otherwords over near Africa and that area. They are not good close in to the states at all.