Invest 98L,Central Atlantic

[HURAKAN]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Means?

[NateFLA]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Means?

Means the sun is setting and you can see the cloudtops, and there is some decent convection firing up. Keep watching.

[punkyg]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Means?

Means the sun is setting and you can see the cloudtops, and there is some decent convection firing up. Keep watching.

Yep.

[HURAKAN]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

Means?

Means the sun is setting and you can see the cloudtops, and there is some decent convection firing up. Keep watching.

If you just put a loop and don't explain, then you keep the others waiting why!!!

03/1745 UTC 11.0N 39.5W T1.0/1.0 98L -- Atlantic Ocean

[punkyg]

If you just put a loop and don't explain, then you keep the others waiting why!!!

[/quote]Sorry.

[jrod]

I thought this was dead days ago. I still dont expect anything out of it and will be suprised if its still there tommorow. All that is there is a LLC that looks to me like is is getting weaker.

[Blown Away]

Just my untrained eye, but 98L has more convection around the LLC today than it did yesterday. Convection has been persistent along the SW side but now it has been building along the NE side. Yesterday you could see clouds racing from the SE towards the NNW along the E side of the LLC, I don't see that today, my guess is the shear has relaxed some. If convection is building along the NE side of the LLC, this is the first time we have seen convection on the NE side since it became 98L.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[CrazyC83]

It just won't go away! This thing is definitely trying to get organized...

[canegrl04]

TD 7 by morning?

[windstorm99]

[punkyg]

Wow the convection is almost completely covering 98L center.

[CrazyC83]

TD 7 by morning?

If it starts moving west it might be. If it gets going though, look out! I think this could be another extremely dangerous hurricane if it can survive to 55-60°W.

[Extremeweatherguy]

It looks a little better this afternoon when compared to this morning. Definitely something to watch for development tomorrow or Wednesday if organization can continue.

[windstorm99]

[CrazyC83]

What are the models thinking, the ridge will weaken or shift westward? From my perspective, this is just going to take the same route Dean and Felix did...

[windstorm99]

What are the models thinking, the ridge will weaken or shift westward? From my perspective, this is just going to take the same route Dean and Felix did...

Jeff masters....

98L is moving slowly westward at 10 mph, and it will be at least five days before it will threaten the Lesser Antilles Islands. A strong trough of low pressure will pass north of 98L Tuesday and Wednesday, which could impart a more northwesterly motion to the storm

[ronjon]

What are the models thinking, the ridge will weaken or shift westward? From my perspective, this is just going to take the same route Dean and Felix did...

The models are already showing a trough to its north moving it NW over the next 5 days - after that a huge ridge builds in off the east coast and would steer the storm (if it develops) on a west path - probably north of the greater antilles - this long range path has the FL straits or FL peninsula in the potential pathway.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I hope this does not become a FL straights storm. If the ridge builds back in and this is in the FL straights, then it will probably be heading off west toward my area. That is NOT something I want to see happen. A scenario like that brings back Rita memories for sure.

As of now though, I see there being three possibilities with 98L's future path...

1.) The system is not affected by the trough to the north and moves through the Caribbean. (tied with #2 as the most likely scenario)

2.) The system is influenced by the trough slightly, but then is pushed back west by the ridge and heads toward FL or the FL straights. (tied with #1 as the most likely scenario)

3.) The system is heavily influenced by the trough and either heads toward the east coast, Bermuda or out to sea. (least likely scenario)

[Hurricaneman]

Im going to Disney on Saturday through next saturday, should I keep an eye on this

[HURAKAN]

Not expected to develop in 48 hrs.