Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[wxmann_91]

Shoot. GHCC is down again.

I need that site for my Archive.

[miamicanes177]

cloud tops are cooling again and it looks primed for another round of significant intensification to category 5 before landfall.

[Extremecane]

Wonder if it will be even stronger then before. Still some time for another strong intensification.

[Cyclenall]

I thought this was going to go through a ERC at 1:30 pm today but now it seems like nothing is happening and the tiny eye is clearing out again. This is odd.

[Brent]

Satellite appearance looks much better... I also thought it was on a downward trend but now I'm definitely not sure.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If it was not for a EWRC, it likely weaken because of mid level shear pushing dry air into the core of the system. Maybe it beat the dry air. In now its coming back?

[wxman57]

couple of points

1. The eye has expanded

2. Felix has slowed slightly based upon the latest recon fixes... may be closer to 18 mph now

Derek,

I have GARP up measuring 1-hr and 6-hr movements by placing my cursor in the center of the eye. Over the past hour, I measured a movement toward 272.6 deg. at 18.3 kts. For the 6 hour movement I got 104nm (17.3 kts) toward 276 deg. Just checked the 3hr movement and get 51nm (17kts) toward 277 deg.

So I do see some speed and direction fluctuations, but in the past hour Felix has definitely sped up and turned more due west.

Ok, enough of FELIX! I'm going out to buy a 32" LCD TV for the bedroom. The old 19" CRT is near death.

[miamicanes177]

Maybe it beat the dry air. In now its coming back?

The TCHP picks up from now until 83W. It does look to be mixing the dry air out and a run for 160-175mph can not be ruled out in my opinion.

[Hello32020]

Maybe it beat the dry air. In now its coming back?

The TCHP picks up from now until 83W. It does look to be mixing the dry air out and a run for 160-175mph can not be ruled out in my opinion.

Another thing is when will it restrengthen. I am very interested to see what it is at 5 PM.

[PhillyWX]

E-WALL Animation of the last two days of Felix:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/animir.html

Felix's presentation has improved a fair deal in the last two hours. It is over an area of high oceanic heat content (which I commented about earlier today) which is allowing the storm to get itself organized more quickly while in the midst of an ERC. This will probably strengthen some again before landfall.

[HURAKAN]

Dean continues to appear in everyone's tongues!!!

[wxman57]

E-WALL Animation of the last two days of Dean:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/animir.html

Felix's presentation has improved a fair deal in the last two hours. It is over an area of high oceanic heat content (which I commented about earlier today) which is allowing the storm to get itself organized more quickly while in the midst of an ERC. This will probably strengthen some again before landfall.

Looks more like Felix.

[PhillyWX]

:uarrow: Dean continues to appear in everyone's tongues!!!

LMAO at myself

I see one hurricane I call them all the same damn thing!

[Brent]

E-WALL Animation of the last two days of Dean:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/animir.html

Felix's presentation has improved a fair deal in the last two hours. It is over an area of high oceanic heat content (which I commented about earlier today) which is allowing the storm to get itself organized more quickly while in the midst of an ERC. This will probably strengthen some again before landfall.

Looks more like Felix.

!!!

Yeah I've been trying to call Felix Dean as well. It's crazy.

I guess the NHC is waiting on a new center fix before the advisory comes out.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This looks much better,,,I wonder if it will explode again as it moves over the next eddie. I think its pretty likley. I think this is a very stable system unlike dean that went through a EWRC every 5 minutes up intill the last 12 hours. I think its eye will expand and the system will grow a red ring around it again. Becoming a cat5 for the second time.

[CrazyC83]

My current estimate: 110 kt/954mb. I think it is bottoming out now after an ERC.

[Brent]

Down to 135 at 5

[PhillyWX]

My current estimate: 110 kt/954mb. I think it is bottoming out now after an ERC.

Very close, 115 kts/953. 14.3/79.5.

[CrazyC83]

My current estimate: 110 kt/954mb. I think it is bottoming out now after an ERC.

Very close, 115 kts/953. 14.3/79.5.

I guess they just wanted to keep it a Cat 4 knowing it is likely to re-intensify. I personally think Felix is, for the moment, a Cat 3.

[theworld]