Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[Air Force Met]

It's not going to the Yucatan. Its going to slam into Nicaragua and Honduras. It will make landfall just south of the border and probably not get out over water again until it hits the Pacific...if it survives.

You taking over the "wobble patrol" now, AFM? I'm going to bed. Have to kill me a hurricane in the morning.

I don't have the energy to fight the wobble watchers. Haven't been concerned about Felix at all anyway...hence my absence from the board...

Besides...I am watching Florida State get their butts handed to them by Clemson on my 52" HD

It's a modern marvel

[bigGbear]

Is there any major citys or towns in the landfall area?

Only a couple - see map on page 62 of this thread

[theworld]

[RDTF]

Is there any major citys or towns in the landfall area?

http://worldatlas.com/webimage/countrys ... ica/ni.htm

[miamicanes177]

This is a serious situation. Felix has the potential to far exceed the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States (Katrina). Thousands of lives will be in serious jeopardy tomorrow. Keep them in your prayers.

[Ed Mahmoud]

It's not going to the Yucatan. Its going to slam into Nicaragua and Honduras. It will make landfall just south of the border and probably not get out over water again until it hits the Pacific...if it survives.

You taking over the "wobble patrol" now, AFM? I'm going to bed. Have to kill me a hurricane in the morning.

The hurricane is going to kill itself, isn't it?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If it keeps west its southern eyewall could hit Puerto cabezas. Will be watching this system. http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/americas ... pol_97.jpg

[Cape Verde]

Is there any major citys or towns in the landfall area?

No, I've been looking at that all day. Even the biggest town is the boondocks by our standards.

That's not to minimize the danger to anyone who lives there. It's just that the population density is fairly light.

[wxman57]

New 3hr motion based on 0145Z imagery. It moved 51nm toward 267.1 deg. Dropped down to 14.4N latitude from 14.5. That's 17 kts. forward speed. That makes it only 8 hours until landfall, or about 5am CDT. Probably near 14.6N.

[HurricaneRobert]

Mosquito Coast? Sounds like a great vacation area.

[RL3AO]

Because of its stubborn westward track, it will now track over the more populated areas of Honduras now.

[Cape Verde]

Mosquito Coast? Sounds like a great vacation area.

Not a great name, but it's named after the local earlier tribal name of the people, not the insect.

[Brent]

Yep, forget a Belize or Yucatan landfall or the BOC. The Euro wins(again) and the other models were way too far north yet again. Just like Dean... there won't be much left to track tomorrow night. Time to start looking at 99L soon.

[CrazyC83]

Yep, forget a Belize or Yucatan landfall or the BOC. The Euro wins(again) and the other models were way too far north yet again. Just like Dean... there won't be much left to track tomorrow night. Time to start looking at 99L soon.

If the westward track continues, it may survive into the Pacific...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looking at the Mitch Adivisory's tell me that he made landfall with winds of 65-75 knots. He weaken to a tropical storm shortly after its landfall. This is going to make landfall as at least a cat3, more likely a cat4 hurricane. What was the last time a cat4 hurricane hit this area?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/dis/NAL1398.033

[miamicanes177]

Raw T# 6.6

I think recon finds winds to support 150-160mph when they go in there in a few hours.

[Stratosphere747]

This is a serious situation. Felix has the potential to far exceed the worst natural disaster in the history of the United States (Katrina). Thousands of lives will be in serious jeopardy tomorrow. Keep them in your prayers.

There is this little storm from 1900 that may disagree with you.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif

Here is the last major to make landfall in the area

Info on Beta
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Beta_%282005%29

[theworld]

[philnyc]

It's clearly intensifying at the moment, but running out of time. Before it hits land it hits cooler water near the coast. It is also not undergoing any EWRC. That fat band of convection around the center (the "reds") is not an eyewall - it's just convection. So it's interesting that this one basically never went thorugh an EWRC. The first cat4/5 I can remember that didn't...